Eastleigh
vs
Shrewsbury
1 – 2 Full time
| 38′ | George Lloyd | ||
| 45′ | J. Turner-Cook | ||
| 45′ | Oliver HawkinsHady Ghandour | ||
| 72′ | William Boyle | ||
| 75′ | Jonathan WilliamsHarry Sidwell | ||
| 75′ | Jake CapriceJ. Laqueretabua | ||
| 75′ | Dion RankineWill Randall | ||
| 79′ | Will Randall | ||
| 83′ | Josh DavisonIsaac Fletcher | ||
| 87′ | Isaac Fletcher | ||
| 90′ | Max DickovBarney Stone |
Match stats
| 2 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury
| Probability | Eastleigh | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 26.2% | 28.1% |
| Market | 26.5% | 26.1% | 47.4% |
| Final | 31.3% | 26.1% | 42.6% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +0.0% | -4.8% |
Why Shrewsbury
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eastleigh and Shrewsbury expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Eastleigh and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings
Eastleigh
Shrewsbury
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction
Eastleigh 1 – 2 Shrewsbury
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 42.6% | 2.35 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eastleigh | 31.3% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Shrewsbury | 42.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shrewsbury win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 71.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 7.6% |
Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury stats
Eastleigh and Shrewsbury recent form
| Eastleigh |
WLWL |
| Shrewsbury |
LDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 26.1%, away 47.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.52 | 3.62 | 1.96 |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.60 | 2.04 |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.62 | 1.94 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 3.04 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .