York
vs
Walsall
Garuda Lions Prediction: York
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.53.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
York vs Walsall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York vs Walsall
| Probability | York | Draw | Walsall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 23.9% | 29.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.2% | 23.9% | 29.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.53.
York vs Walsall match preview
York faces Walsall in an upcoming League Two match, with York holding a 46% probability of winning compared to Walsall's 30%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of York, with a 9% chance of this outcome. Both teams are expected to contribute to an engaging match, with a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, York has recorded a mixed bag of results, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Walsall's recent performance shows a similar trend, with two wins, two draws, and a loss. The expected goals for York stand at 1.92, while Walsall is projected to score 1.53, indicating a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York and Walsall expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
York and Walsall attack and defence ratings
York
Walsall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
York vs Walsall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 46.2% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Walsall | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
York vs Walsall stats
York and Walsall recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York and Walsall season so far
York record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Walsall record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.