Fleetwood Town
vs
Tranmere
1 – 0 Full time
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere
| Probability | Fleetwood Town | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.8% | 26.8% | 28.4% |
| Market | 49.0% | 26.4% | 24.6% |
| Final | 47.9% | 26.5% | 25.6% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +0.1% | +0.9% |
Why Fleetwood Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.25.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fleetwood Town and Tranmere expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Fleetwood Town and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Fleetwood Town
Tranmere
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere: result vs prediction
Fleetwood Town 1 – 0 Tranmere
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 47.9% | 2.09 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 47.9% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Tranmere | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere stats
Fleetwood Town and Tranmere recent form
| Fleetwood Town |
LWDLLW |
| Tranmere |
LWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fleetwood Town and Tranmere going into this match
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tranmere record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Fleetwood Town | Tranmere | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Tranmere | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Tranmere | Fleetwood Town | EFL Trophy | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-22 | Fleetwood Town | Tranmere | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-11 | Tranmere | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-05 | Fleetwood Town | Tranmere | EFL Trophy | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-15 | Tranmere | Fleetwood Town | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2022-07-02 | Fleetwood Town | Tranmere | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2019-11-23 | Fleetwood Town | Tranmere | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 26.4%, away 24.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.54 | 3.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.54 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.65 | 3.89 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.29 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .