Colchester
vs
Worcester City
1 – 0 Full time
| 28′ | C. Wise | ||
| 32′ | Jaden Williams | ||
| 62′ | Jay WilliamsBen perry | ||
| 73′ | Oscar thornKaion Kevin Elijah Lisbie | ||
| 76′ | Zachary GuinanB Smalley | ||
| 78′ | Jaden WilliamsKien Connelly | ||
| 79′ | Harry Burns | ||
| 84′ | Ben perry |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
Colchester vs Worcester City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Worcester City
| Probability | Colchester | Draw | Worcester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 32.1% | 45.6% |
| Market | 71.3% | 17.2% | 11.6% |
| Final | 59.0% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| Edge | -12.2% | +3.7% | +8.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colchester and Worcester City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Colchester and Worcester City attack and defence ratings
Colchester
Worcester City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colchester vs Worcester City: result vs prediction
Colchester 1 – 0 Worcester City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Colchester vs Worcester City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 59.0% | 1.69 | -12.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 59.0% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Worcester City | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colchester win | 7.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 77.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.0% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Colchester vs Worcester City stats
Colchester and Worcester City recent form
| Colchester |
LLDDLD |
| Worcester City |
WDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colchester and Worcester City going into this match
Worcester City record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Colchester vs Worcester City head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Colchester vs Worcester City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.3%, draw 17.2%, away 11.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 5.40 | 8.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.70 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 5.60 | 8.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 5.40 | 8.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.62 | 8.23 |
| SBO | 1.29 | 4.48 | 6.09 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .