Cheltenham
vs
FC Halifax Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cheltenham
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town
| Probability | Cheltenham | Draw | FC Halifax Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 22.8% | 33.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.2% | 22.8% | 33.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cheltenham
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town match preview
Cheltenham faces FC Halifax Town in the FA Cup, with our model assigning a 44% probability of a Cheltenham victory, while FC Halifax Town has a 33% chance of winning and a 23% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Cheltenham, occurring at an 8% frequency.
In terms of offensive potential, Cheltenham is expected to score 2.03 goals, whereas FC Halifax Town is forecasted to net 1.74 goals. The model indicates a high likelihood of an entertaining match, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% probability that both teams will score. Recent form shows Cheltenham with two wins followed by three losses and one win, while FC Halifax Town has two wins and two losses in their last four matches.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cheltenham and FC Halifax Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.77
Cheltenham and FC Halifax Town attack and defence ratings
Cheltenham
FC Halifax Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheltenham | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheltenham | 44.2% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| FC Halifax Town | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cheltenham win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town stats
Cheltenham and FC Halifax Town recent form
| Cheltenham |
WWLLLW |
| FC Halifax Town |
WLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.