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England FA Cup · Full time ·1/128-finals

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town

2 – 0 Full time

16′Jake Evans
60′Jake Evans
60′Raheem Conte
75′Connor DouglasA. Morgan-Smith
81′K. OtchereRobbie Cundy
81′Ben StevensonFreddie willcox
84′Tayt TrustyCruz Allen
88′Zak Gilsenan
89′Jake EvansGeorge Miller
89′Jordan ShipleyGeorge Nurse
90′Conor CartyDavid Kawa
90′Ben TollittOwen Bray
90′George Miller

Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Cheltenham 47%
Draw 24%
FC Halifax Town 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

5 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
53 Possession % 47
2 Corners 3
15 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCheltenhamDrawFC Halifax Town
Model41.7%22.9%35.4%
Market48.7%24.5%26.8%
Final47.0%24.1%28.9%
Edge-1.8%-0.4%+2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cheltenham ↓ / FC Halifax Tow → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Cheltenham and FC Halifax Town expected goals

Cheltenham 1.97
FC Halifax Town 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.78

Cheltenham and FC Halifax Town attack and defence ratings

Cheltenham

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.11 +11%

FC Halifax Town

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town: result vs prediction

Cheltenham 2 – 0 FC Halifax Town

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cheltenham 47.0% 2.13 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.8% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cheltenham47.0%
Draw24.1%
FC Halifax Town28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.8%
Under 2.527.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.8%
No27.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1Cheltenham win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.0%
2-18.0%
1-27.4%

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town stats

Cheltenham and FC Halifax Town recent form

newest first
Cheltenham LWWLLL
FC Halifax Town WLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Cheltenham wins 0Draws 0FC Halifax Town wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-04-16CheltenhamFC Halifax TownNational League2-0
2015-10-03FC Halifax TownCheltenhamNational League1-7

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 24.5%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.92 3.80 3.50
Bet365 1.90 3.90 3.60
BetVictor 1.90 3.60 3.40
Betano 1.95 3.70 3.45
Betfair 1.91 3.90 3.50
Dafabet 1.98 3.85 3.60
Marathonbet 1.90 3.80 3.50
Pinnacle 1.92 4.28 3.36
SBO 1.87 3.20 3.10
William Hill 1.91 3.50 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.08
X 3.80 ▼ -0.04
2 3.48 ▼ -0.24

3 snapshots recorded, from .