FC Halifax Town
vs
South Shields
3 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | South Shields | ||
| 13′ | FC Halifax Town | ||
| 20′ | FC Halifax Town | ||
| 23′ | FC Halifax Town | ||
| 51′ | South Shields | ||
| 69′ | South Shields | ||
| 70′ | South Shields | ||
| 96′ | FC Halifax Town |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
FC Halifax Town vs South Shields overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Halifax Town vs South Shields
| Probability | FC Halifax Town | Draw | South Shields |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.3% | 19.8% | 59.0% |
| Market | 42.6% | 25.4% | 32.0% |
| Final | 37.3% | 24.0% | 38.7% |
| Edge | -21.3% | -5.7% | +27.0% |
Why South Shields
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.51.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices South Shields below the model: +27.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Halifax Town and South Shields expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.04
FC Halifax Town and South Shields attack and defence ratings
FC Halifax Town
South Shields
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Halifax Town vs South Shields: result vs prediction
FC Halifax Town 3 – 2 South Shields
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Halifax Town vs South Shields markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | South Shields | 38.7% | 2.58 | +27.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Halifax Town | 37.3% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| South Shields | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | South Shields win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.5% |
| 1-1 | 7.4% | |
| 1-3 | 7.2% |
FC Halifax Town vs South Shields stats
FC Halifax Town and South Shields recent form
| FC Halifax Town |
LWL |
| South Shields |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
FC Halifax Town vs South Shields head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-24 | South Shields | FC Halifax Town | FA Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Halifax Town vs South Shields odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 25.4%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.52 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.52 | 2.79 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .