York
vs
Swindon Town
4 – 0 Full time
| 16′ | Alex Newby | ||
| 24′ | Ollie Banks | ||
| 38′ | Billy KirkmanJoseph Hungbo | ||
| 45′ | Ben MiddlemasPaul Glatzel | ||
| 60′ | Joe Snowdonantwoine hackford | ||
| 67′ | Mitchell Clark | ||
| 69′ | Mark Kitching | ||
| 69′ | I. Holloway | ||
| 72′ | Alex Newby | ||
| 74′ | Jeff KingJoseph Rabole Felix | ||
| 74′ | Alex HuntArthur Read | ||
| 74′ | Ryan FallowfieldJack Hunt | ||
| 74′ | Alex Newbyjovan malcolm | ||
| 77′ | Anthony MundaJames Ball | ||
| 78′ | Aaron DrinanDaniel Butterworth | ||
| 82′ | Ollie Pearce | ||
| 86′ | Harry BoyesCraig Hewitt | ||
| 87′ | Daniel Butterworth |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 457 | Accurate passes | 188 |
York vs Swindon Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York vs Swindon Town
| Probability | York | Draw | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 23.1% | 31.0% |
| Market | 59.0% | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| Final | 55.7% | 22.2% | 22.0% |
| Edge | -13.2% | +1.2% | +12.0% |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.64.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York and Swindon Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
York and Swindon Town attack and defence ratings
York
Swindon Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
York vs Swindon Town: result vs prediction
York 4 – 0 Swindon Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
York vs Swindon Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 55.7% | 1.79 | -13.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 55.7% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Swindon Town | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% |
| No | 29.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
York vs Swindon Town stats
York and Swindon Town recent form
| York |
DLWDWL |
| Swindon Town |
WWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York and Swindon Town going into this match
York record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Swindon Town record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
York vs Swindon Town head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-10 | Swindon Town | York | FA Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
York vs Swindon Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.0%, draw 21.9%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.25 | 4.89 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.40 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.25 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.49 | 5.02 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.80 | 4.12 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .