Bristol Rovers
vs
Colchester
2 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | Tom James | ||
| 27′ | T. James | ||
| 35′ | Jack Tucker | ||
| 43′ | K. BalmerC. Kelly | ||
| 45′ | Tommy Leigh | ||
| 46′ | F. TerryK. Vincent-Young | ||
| 46′ | P. DigbyM. Sesay | ||
| 61′ | J. WilliamsK. Kouassi | ||
| 66′ | F. CavegnE. Harrison | ||
| 69′ | O. ThornB. Ihionvien | ||
| 76′ | B. KamwaJ. Aitchison | ||
| 79′ | Richard Smallwood | ||
| 85′ | R. HuntL. Chiwome | ||
| 90′ | E. Harrison |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 309 | Accurate passes | 332 |
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol Rovers vs Colchester
| Probability | Bristol Rovers | Draw | Colchester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.4% | 25.5% | 22.1% |
| Market | 50.9% | 25.2% | 23.9% |
| Final | 51.3% | 25.3% | 23.4% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
Why Bristol Rovers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.09.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol Rovers and Colchester expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Bristol Rovers and Colchester attack and defence ratings
Bristol Rovers
Colchester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester: result vs prediction
Bristol Rovers 2 – 0 Colchester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 51.3% | 1.95 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 51.3% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Colchester | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol Rovers win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester stats
Bristol Rovers and Colchester recent form
| Bristol Rovers |
WWLLDW |
| Colchester |
WWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol Rovers and Colchester going into this match
Bristol Rovers record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Bristol Rovers | Colchester | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Colchester | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-23 | Colchester | Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-15 | Bristol Rovers | Colchester | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-19 | Colchester | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 25.2%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.81 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.93 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.80 | 3.77 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.26 | 3.58 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .