Garuda Lions
Today
League Two · Full time ·Matchday 3

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers

0 – 2 Full time

Broadfield Stadium, CrawleyReferee: L. Doughty

Crawley Town 28%
Draw 28%
Bristol Rovers 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCrawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
Model27.3%27.9%44.8%
Market28.1%28.1%43.8%
Final27.9%28.1%44.0%
Edge-0.8%-0.2%+1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Bristol Rovers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crawley Town ↓ / Bristol Rovers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers expected goals

Crawley Town 1.14
Bristol Rovers 1.52

Total expected goals: 2.66

Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers attack and defence ratings

Crawley Town

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Bristol Rovers

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers: result vs prediction

Crawley Town 0 – 2 Bristol Rovers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bristol Rovers 44.0% 2.27 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.3% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crawley Town27.9%
Draw28.1%
Bristol Rovers44.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.7%
Under 2.550.3%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.0%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)72.1%
Handicap -1Bristol Rovers win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss55.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
0-19.4%
1-29.2%

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers stats

Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers recent form

newest first
Crawley Town WLLWDD
Bristol Rovers WLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Crawley Town record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Bristol Rovers record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Crawley Town wins 1Draws 5Bristol Rovers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Bristol RoversCrawley TownLeague Two3-1
2025-10-25Crawley TownBristol RoversLeague Two4-0
2025-03-22Crawley TownBristol RoversLeague One1-0
2024-11-16Bristol RoversCrawley TownLeague One0-0
2023-12-05Crawley TownBristol RoversEFL Trophy2-1
2022-08-09Crawley TownBristol RoversLeague Cup1-0
2022-03-08Crawley TownBristol RoversLeague Two1-2
2021-09-04Bristol RoversCrawley TownLeague Two1-0
2018-08-14Bristol RoversCrawley TownLeague Cup2-1
2016-11-15Bristol RoversCrawley TownFA Cup4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.1%, draw 28.1%, away 43.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.30 3.35 2.12
1xBet 3.06 3.41 2.20
Bet365 3.40 3.30 2.10
BetVictor 3.20 3.30 2.10
Betano 3.35 3.30 2.12
Betfair 3.30 3.50 2.15
Dafabet 3.35 3.40 2.18
Marathonbet 3.35 3.28 2.10
Pinnacle 3.44 3.30 2.13
SBO 3.00 3.02 1.98
Superbet 3.30 3.30 2.15
Unibet 3.30 3.45 2.08
William Hill 3.30 3.10 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▲ +0.05
X 3.30 ▲ +0.01
2 2.12 ▼ -0.04

12 snapshots recorded, from .