League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Rochdale
vs
Crawley Town
1 – 2 Full time
Rochdale
34%
Draw
30%
Crawley Town
37%
Rochdale vs Crawley Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rochdale vs Crawley Town
| Probability | Rochdale | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 29.5% | 36.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.9% | 29.5% | 36.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Rochdale and Crawley Town expected goals
Rochdale
1.22
Crawley Town
1.28
Total expected goals: 2.50
Rochdale and Crawley Town attack and defence ratings
Rochdale
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.46 +46%
Crawley Town
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rochdale vs Crawley Town: result vs prediction
Rochdale 1 – 2 Crawley Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rochdale vs Crawley Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rochdale | 33.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Crawley Town | 36.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% |
| No | 47.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Crawley Town win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Rochdale vs Crawley Town stats
Rochdale and Crawley Town recent form
| Rochdale |
LLDLLW |
| Crawley Town |
LLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rochdale and Crawley Town going into this match
Rochdale record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.