League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Port Vale
vs
Tranmere
1 – 1 Full time
Port Vale
24%
Draw
30%
Tranmere
46%
Port Vale vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Port Vale vs Tranmere
| Probability | Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 30.5% | 45.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.7% | 30.5% | 45.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tranmere
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Port Vale and Tranmere expected goals
Port Vale
0.89
Tranmere
1.34
Total expected goals: 2.23
Port Vale and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Port Vale
Attack
0.59 -41%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Tranmere
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Port Vale vs Tranmere: result vs prediction
Port Vale 1 – 1 Tranmere
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Port Vale vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 23.7% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Tranmere | 45.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Port Vale vs Tranmere stats
Port Vale and Tranmere recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Port Vale and Tranmere going into this match
Port Vale record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.