League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Exeter City
vs
Accrington ST
2 – 0 Full time
Exeter City
43%
Draw
27%
Accrington ST
30%
Exeter City vs Accrington ST overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Exeter City vs Accrington ST
| Probability | Exeter City | Draw | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 27.1% | 30.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.7% | 27.1% | 30.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Exeter City and Accrington ST expected goals
Exeter City
1.57
Accrington ST
1.29
Total expected goals: 2.85
Exeter City and Accrington ST attack and defence ratings
Exeter City
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Accrington ST
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.43 +43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Exeter City vs Accrington ST: result vs prediction
Exeter City 2 – 0 Accrington ST
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Exeter City vs Accrington ST markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 42.7% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Accrington ST | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Exeter City win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 7.8% |
Exeter City vs Accrington ST stats
Exeter City and Accrington ST recent form
| Exeter City |
LLLDDD |
| Accrington ST |
DLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Exeter City and Accrington ST going into this match
Exeter City record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Accrington ST record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.