Charlton
vs
Bristol City
1 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Karlan Grant | ||
| 27′ | Scott Twine | ||
| 53′ | Micah MbickKayne Ramsay | ||
| 53′ | Josh EdwardsIvan Mesik | ||
| 65′ | Yu HirakawaCameron Pring | ||
| 65′ | Brian de KeersmaeckerSam Greenwood | ||
| 69′ | Billy Koumetio | ||
| 77′ | Miles LeaburnCharlie Kelman | ||
| 77′ | Karlan GrantHarvey Knibbs | ||
| 78′ | Adam RandellGibson Osahumen Yah | ||
| 78′ | Scott TwineElijah Adebayo | ||
| 89′ | Tyreece CampbellMillenic Alli | ||
| 90′ | Ivan Mesik | ||
| 90′ | Elijah Adebayo | ||
| 90′ | Dominic BallardSam Bellis |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 268 | Accurate passes | 222 |
Charlton vs Bristol City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charlton vs Bristol City
| Probability | Charlton | Draw | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.2% | 28.9% | 40.9% |
| Market | 29.9% | 28.8% | 41.3% |
| Final | 30.0% | 28.8% | 41.2% |
| Edge | +0.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% |
Why Bristol City
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charlton and Bristol City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Charlton and Bristol City attack and defence ratings
Charlton
Bristol City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charlton vs Bristol City: result vs prediction
Charlton 1 – 1 Bristol City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Charlton vs Bristol City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 41.2% | 2.43 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 30.0% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Bristol City | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol City win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Charlton vs Bristol City stats
Charlton and Bristol City recent form
| Charlton |
LDDLDW |
| Bristol City |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charlton and Bristol City going into this match
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bristol City record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Charlton vs Bristol City head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Charlton | Bristol City | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Bristol City | Charlton | England Championship | 0-0 |
| 2019-12-26 | Charlton | Bristol City | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2019-10-23 | Bristol City | Charlton | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2016-02-06 | Charlton | Bristol City | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2015-12-26 | Bristol City | Charlton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2013-05-04 | Charlton | Bristol City | Championship | 4-1 |
| 2012-11-11 | Bristol City | Charlton | Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charlton vs Bristol City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.9%, draw 28.8%, away 41.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.14 | 3.24 | 2.26 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.35 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.24 | 2.24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.22 | 3.35 | 2.36 |
| SBO | 2.93 | 3.06 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
41 snapshots recorded, from .