Burnley
vs
Charlton
2 – 2 Full time
| 36′ | Jacob Bruun Larsen | ||
| 50′ | Kayne Ramsay | ||
| 57′ | Largie Ramazani | ||
| 62′ | Conor Coventry | ||
| 66′ | Igor Júlio | ||
| 71′ | Jamie VardyArmando Broja | ||
| 71′ | Jacob Bruun LarsenMarcus Edwards | ||
| 74′ | Miles LeaburnMicah Mbick | ||
| 74′ | Dan McNamaraHarvey Knibbs | ||
| 75′ | Amari BellIvan Mesik | ||
| 75′ | Oliver SkippCharlie Kelman | ||
| 80′ | Largie RamazaniAndréas Hountondji | ||
| 86′ | Tyreece CampbellMillenic Alli | ||
| 90′ | Anel AhmedhodzicHjalmar Ekdal | ||
| 90′ | Max Alleyne | ||
| 90′ | Ivan Mesik |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 281 | Accurate passes | 348 |
Burnley vs Charlton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Burnley vs Charlton
| Probability | Burnley | Draw | Charlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 26.6% | 23.5% |
| Market | 57.7% | 24.3% | 18.0% |
| Final | 55.8% | 24.9% | 19.4% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
Why Burnley
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Burnley and Charlton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Burnley and Charlton attack and defence ratings
Burnley
Charlton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Burnley vs Charlton: result vs prediction
Burnley 2 – 2 Charlton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Burnley vs Charlton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burnley | 55.8% | 1.79 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burnley | 55.8% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Charlton | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Burnley win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Burnley vs Charlton stats
Burnley and Charlton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Burnley and Charlton going into this match
Burnley record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Burnley vs Charlton head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-07 | Charlton | Burnley | Championship | 0-3 |
| 2015-12-19 | Burnley | Charlton | Championship | 4-0 |
| 2014-03-22 | Charlton | Burnley | Championship | 0-3 |
| 2013-09-28 | Burnley | Charlton | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2013-03-02 | Charlton | Burnley | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2012-11-17 | Burnley | Charlton | Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Burnley vs Charlton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.7%, draw 24.3%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.85 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.05 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.85 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.55 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.62 | 4.77 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .