Watford
vs
Charlton
2 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Dan McNamara | ||
| 17′ | Myron Boadu | ||
| 31′ | Iker Bravo | ||
| 32′ | Oliver Skipp | ||
| 44′ | Tyreece Campbell | ||
| 45′ | Oliver SkippAlan Mwamba | ||
| 47′ | Conor Coventry | ||
| 58′ | Luca Kjerrumgaard | ||
| 62′ | Conor Coventrysonny carey | ||
| 63′ | Karlan GrantHarvey Knibbs | ||
| 63′ | Dan McNamaraCharlie Kelman | ||
| 66′ | Krépin DiattaJordan Zemura | ||
| 66′ | Myron BoaduMartin Payero | ||
| 76′ | Marc BolaBranimir Mlacic | ||
| 76′ | Luca KjerrumgaardMamadou Doumbia | ||
| 77′ | Tyreece CampbellMillenic Alli | ||
| 79′ | Jordan Zemura | ||
| 86′ | Iker BravoRocco Vata | ||
| 90′ | Alan Mwamba | ||
| 90′ | Jordan Zemura |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 276 | Accurate passes | 259 |
Watford vs Charlton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Watford vs Charlton
| Probability | Watford | Draw | Charlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 26.0% | 51.3% |
| Market | 37.7% | 28.0% | 34.3% |
| Final | 34.0% | 27.5% | 38.5% |
| Edge | -15.0% | -2.0% | +17.1% |
Why Charlton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.09.
- The market prices Charlton below the model: +17.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Watford and Charlton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Watford and Charlton attack and defence ratings
Watford
Charlton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Watford vs Charlton: result vs prediction
Watford 2 – 0 Charlton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Watford vs Charlton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 38.5% | 2.59 | +17.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Watford | 34.0% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Charlton | 38.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlton win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Watford vs Charlton stats
Watford and Charlton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Watford and Charlton going into this match
Watford record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Watford vs Charlton head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Watford | Charlton | England Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Charlton | Watford | England Championship | 1-0 |
| 2015-01-17 | Watford | Charlton | Championship | 5-0 |
| 2014-09-13 | Charlton | Watford | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2014-04-29 | Charlton | Watford | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2013-09-14 | Watford | Charlton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2013-01-01 | Watford | Charlton | Championship | 3-4 |
| 2012-10-02 | Charlton | Watford | Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Watford vs Charlton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 28.5%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.38 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.38 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63 | 3.41 | 2.78 |
| SBO | 2.31 | 3.04 | 2.57 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .