Charlton
vs
Norwich
Garuda Lions Prediction: Charlton
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Charlton vs Norwich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charlton vs Norwich
| Probability | Charlton | Draw | Norwich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Charlton vs Norwich match preview
Charlton hosts Norwich in the Championship with a forecasted probability of 39% for a Charlton win, 26% for a draw, and 35% for a Norwich victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Charlton, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.60 for Charlton and 1.51 for Norwich.
In terms of recent form, Charlton has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Norwich has struggled significantly, losing all six of their most recent games. Historically, Norwich has dominated their last two encounters with Charlton, winning both without any draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charlton and Norwich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Charlton and Norwich attack and defence ratings
Charlton
Norwich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Charlton vs Norwich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 39.0% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Norwich | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlton win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Charlton vs Norwich stats
Charlton and Norwich recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charlton and Norwich season so far
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Norwich record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Charlton vs Norwich head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Charlton | Norwich | England Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Norwich | Charlton | England Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.