Preston
vs
West Brom
Garuda Lions Prediction: West Brom
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Preston vs West Brom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs West Brom
| Probability | Preston | Draw | West Brom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.5% | 22.5% | 62.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.5% | 22.5% | 62.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why West Brom
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Preston vs West Brom match preview
Preston faces West Brom in the Championship with a challenging outlook, as their recent form shows six matches without a win (L-L-L-D-L-L). In contrast, West Brom has secured three victories in their last six matches (W-W-L-L-D-W), indicating stronger momentum. The probabilities from our model suggest a 16% chance of a Preston win, a 22% likelihood of a draw, and a 62% chance for West Brom to take the three points.
The expected goals figures reflect the anticipated disparity in performance, with Preston at 0.94 and West Brom at 2.05. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, occurring at an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring is projected at 54%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preston and West Brom expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Preston and West Brom attack and defence ratings
Preston
West Brom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Preston vs West Brom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Brom | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | West Brom win | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 15.5% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| West Brom | 62.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Brom win | 39.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 0-2 | 10.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Preston vs West Brom stats
Preston and West Brom recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preston and West Brom season so far
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
West Brom record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preston vs West Brom head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Preston | West Brom | England Championship | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | West Brom | Preston | England Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.