Wrexham
vs
Preston
4 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | Andrija Vukčević | ||
| 21′ | Benjamin Whiteman | ||
| 31′ | Joe Worrall | ||
| 36′ | Alfie Devine | ||
| 42′ | Benjamin Whiteman | ||
| 56′ | Liam LindsayBrad Potts | ||
| 59′ | Sam Smith | ||
| 62′ | Andrew Hughes | ||
| 63′ | Kieffer Moore | ||
| 66′ | Jordan Thompson | ||
| 68′ | Danny ImrayIssa Kabore | ||
| 69′ | Johnny KennyDelano Burgzorg | ||
| 70′ | Callum LangJusef Erabi | ||
| 79′ | Alfie DevineEd Nolan | ||
| 80′ | Callum Doyle | ||
| 80′ | Leo Leroy | ||
| 81′ | Matty JamesGeorge Dobson | ||
| 81′ | Kieffer MooreB. Cadamarteri | ||
| 81′ | Callum O'HareOliver Rathbone | ||
| 90′ | Sam SmithLewis O'Brien |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 335 | Accurate passes | 166 |
Wrexham vs Preston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wrexham vs Preston
| Probability | Wrexham | Draw | Preston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 25.1% | 18.8% |
| Market | 56.0% | 24.4% | 19.6% |
| Final | 56.0% | 24.6% | 19.4% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +0.7% | -0.9% |
Why Wrexham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wrexham and Preston expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Wrexham and Preston attack and defence ratings
Wrexham
Preston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wrexham vs Preston: result vs prediction
Wrexham 4 – 1 Preston
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wrexham vs Preston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham | 56.0% | 1.79 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham | 56.0% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Preston | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wrexham win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Wrexham vs Preston stats
Wrexham and Preston recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wrexham and Preston going into this match
Wrexham record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Wrexham vs Preston head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Wrexham | Preston | England Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Preston | Wrexham | England Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-26 | Preston | Wrexham | League Cup | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wrexham vs Preston odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 24.4%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.84 | 4.51 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.84 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.86 | 5.17 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.43 | 4.27 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .