Wrexham
vs
West Brom
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wrexham
1 – 0 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Wrexham vs West Brom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wrexham vs West Brom
| Probability | Wrexham | Draw | West Brom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.3% | 29.1% | 45.6% |
| Market | 39.3% | 28.5% | 32.3% |
| Final | 35.8% | 28.6% | 35.6% |
| Edge | -14.0% | +0.6% | +13.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Wrexham vs West Brom match preview
Wrexham faces West Brom in an intriguing Championship clash, with both teams showing mixed recent form. Wrexham's last five matches resulted in two wins, two draws, and one loss, while West Brom has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their previous five outings. The probability of a win for Wrexham stands at 36%, matching West Brom's 36%, with a draw at 29%.
The expected goals suggest a competitive matchup, with Wrexham projected to score 1.01 and West Brom 1.44. Our model indicates a most likely scoreline of 1-0 in favor of Wrexham, occurring at a 7% probability. Additionally, there is a 50% chance that both teams will score, and a 44% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wrexham and West Brom expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Wrexham and West Brom attack and defence ratings
Wrexham
West Brom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wrexham vs West Brom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham | 35.8% | 2.79 | -14.0% | 2.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham | 35.8% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| West Brom | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wrexham win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 74.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Wrexham vs West Brom stats
Wrexham and West Brom recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wrexham and West Brom season so far
Wrexham record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
West Brom record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wrexham vs West Brom head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | West Brom | Wrexham | England Championship | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Wrexham | West Brom | England Championship | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wrexham vs West Brom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 28.5%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.87 |
| Dafabet | 2.44 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .