Wrexham
vs
West Brom
1 – 2 Full time
| 39′ | Rabby Nzingoula | ||
| 64′ | Kieffer Moore | ||
| 69′ | Kieffer MooreSam Smith | ||
| 69′ | Issa KaboreDanny Imray | ||
| 72′ | Oliver RathboneLewis O'Brien | ||
| 76′ | Harry WhitwellJ. Morgan | ||
| 76′ | Barney StewartAune Heggebo | ||
| 79′ | Isaac Price | ||
| 80′ | Chris MephamNathaniel Phillips | ||
| 83′ | Zak Vyner | ||
| 83′ | Toby CollyerOusmane·Diakite | ||
| 84′ | Aune Heggebo | ||
| 88′ | Jacques EkomiéRyan·Longman | ||
| 88′ | Zak VynerB. Cadamarteri |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 317 | Accurate passes | 466 |
Wrexham vs West Brom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wrexham vs West Brom
| Probability | Wrexham | Draw | West Brom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 31.2% | 39.4% |
| Market | 40.8% | 28.5% | 30.7% |
| Final | 37.9% | 29.2% | 32.9% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +0.7% | +2.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wrexham and West Brom expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Wrexham and West Brom attack and defence ratings
Wrexham
West Brom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wrexham vs West Brom: result vs prediction
Wrexham 1 – 2 West Brom
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wrexham vs West Brom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham | 37.9% | 2.64 | -2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham | 37.9% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| West Brom | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wrexham win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 70.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-1 | 11.6% |
Wrexham vs West Brom stats
Wrexham and West Brom recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wrexham and West Brom going into this match
Wrexham record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
West Brom record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wrexham vs West Brom head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | West Brom | Wrexham | England Championship | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Wrexham | West Brom | England Championship | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wrexham vs West Brom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 28.5%, away 30.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.34 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.28 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.07 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .