Norwich
vs
Portsmouth
0 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Benjamin ChriseneDarlin Yongwa | ||
| 51′ | Marko Milovanović | ||
| 55′ | Marko Milovanović | ||
| 57′ | Andre BrooksLucien Mahovo | ||
| 57′ | Anis Ben SlimaneParis Maghoma | ||
| 60′ | Iyad MohamedEbou Adams | ||
| 64′ | Ryan Kavuma-McQueen | ||
| 66′ | Oscar Schwartau | ||
| 70′ | Ryan Kavuma-McQueenOdin Bailey | ||
| 71′ | Marko MilovanovićTyrese Shade | ||
| 73′ | Oscar SchwartauMathias Kvistgaarden | ||
| 80′ | Marlon PackTerry Devlin | ||
| 90′ | Mathias Kvistgaarden | ||
| 90′ | Darlin Yongwa |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 293 | Accurate passes | 307 |
Norwich vs Portsmouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Norwich vs Portsmouth
| Probability | Norwich | Draw | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 23.4% | 40.5% |
| Market | 51.7% | 25.2% | 23.1% |
| Final | 47.8% | 24.7% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -15.6% | -1.7% | +17.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Norwich and Portsmouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Norwich and Portsmouth attack and defence ratings
Norwich
Portsmouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Norwich vs Portsmouth: result vs prediction
Norwich 0 – 1 Portsmouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Norwich vs Portsmouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich | 47.8% | 2.09 | -15.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich | 47.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Portsmouth | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Norwich win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Norwich vs Portsmouth stats
Norwich and Portsmouth recent form
| Norwich |
LLLLLW |
| Portsmouth |
WLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Norwich and Portsmouth going into this match
Norwich record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Portsmouth record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Norwich vs Portsmouth head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Norwich | Portsmouth | England Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Portsmouth | Norwich | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-18 | Norwich | Portsmouth | Championship | 3-5 |
| 2024-12-10 | Portsmouth | Norwich | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2019-01-05 | Norwich | Portsmouth | FA Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Norwich vs Portsmouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 24.7%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.85 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.68 | 4.25 |
| SBO | 1.75 | 3.31 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .