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England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 6

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth

1 – 1 Full time

22′Sean Neave
45′Marshall MunetsiJordan James
45′Sean NeaveTawanda Chirewa
53′Rocco Robert SheinRyan Kavuma-McQueen
53′Tyrese ShadeMarko Milovanović
55′Iyad Mohamed
56′Paulo César da Silva Peixoto
62′Jordan James
67′Mateus ManeThomas Doyle
75′Rafiki Said AhamadaJean-Ricner Bellegarde
75′Iyad MohamedOdin Bailey
75′Abu KamaraE. Kenny
80′Marko Milovanović
83′Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
84′Thomas Doyle
86′Terry Devlin
89′AndréYerson Mosquera
90′Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
90′Adrian SegecicMarlon Pack

Molineux Stadium, WolverhamptonReferee: Edward Duckworth

Wolverhampton Wanderers 56%
Draw 24%
Portsmouth 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
58 Possession % 42
6 Corners 2
11 Fouls 6
4 Offsides 4
0 Saves 1
422 Accurate passes 276

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWolverhampton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
Model45.2%27.4%27.4%
Market59.6%22.9%17.5%
Final56.0%24.0%20.0%
Edge-3.6%+1.1%+2.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.17.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wolverhampton ↓ / Portsmouth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth expected goals

Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.56
Portsmouth 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.74

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth attack and defence ratings

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Portsmouth

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth: result vs prediction

Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 – 1 Portsmouth

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolverhampton Wanderers 56.0% 1.79 -3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wolverhampton Wanderers56.0%
Draw24.0%
Portsmouth20.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.8%
No44.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.0%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)44.0%
Handicap -1Wolverhampton Wanderers win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss54.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.3%
1-08.9%

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth recent form

newest first
Wolverhampton Wanderers WLLWLW
Portsmouth WWLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wolverhampton Wanderers record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Portsmouth record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 22.9%, away 17.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 4.10 5.07
Bet365 1.57 4.10 5.25
BetVictor 1.55 4.00 5.50
Betano 1.65 4.25 5.50
Betfair 1.55 4.10 5.50
Dafabet 1.60 4.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.57 4.10 5.15
Pinnacle 1.58 4.31 5.72
SBO 1.58 3.67 5.03
William Hill 1.57 3.90 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.58 ▲ +0.06
X 4.10 ▼ -0.20
2 5.38 ▼ -0.12

9 snapshots recorded, from .