Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
Portsmouth
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth
| Probability | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 26.0% | 22.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.5% | 26.0% | 22.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth match preview
Wolverhampton Wanderers are set to face Portsmouth in the England Championship, with model probabilities indicating a 52% chance of a home win, a 23% likelihood of a draw, and a 24% chance for Portsmouth to secure victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Wolverhampton, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have a 66% probability of scoring, and there is a 66% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of expected goals, Wolverhampton Wanderers are forecasted to achieve 1.68, while Portsmouth is expected to score 1.16. Recent form shows Wolverhampton with a mixed performance of L-W-D-L-W-W, while Portsmouth has also experienced inconsistency with D-W-L-L-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting the model's uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth attack and defence ratings
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Portsmouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 51.5% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Portsmouth | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth stats
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth recent form
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
WLWDLW |
| Portsmouth |
DDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Portsmouth season so far
Wolverhampton Wanderers record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Portsmouth record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.