Bolton
vs
West Ham
2 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | Oliver Scarles | ||
| 13′ | J. Bowen | ||
| 18′ | E. Erhahon | ||
| 27′ | R. Rodrigues | ||
| 31′ | K. Mavropanos | ||
| 58′ | K. Walker-PetersJ. Veltman | ||
| 58′ | E. AustboM. Solomon | ||
| 62′ | Konstantinos Mavropanos | ||
| 66′ | D. MukasaL. Orford | ||
| 66′ | PabloJ. Piroe | ||
| 67′ | S. Iling JuniorT. Gale | ||
| 73′ | K. DongJ. Nelson | ||
| 77′ | J. Bowen | ||
| 78′ | Jarrod Bowen | ||
| 84′ | S. DalbyR. Hardie | ||
| 84′ | E. ErhahonJ. McAtee | ||
| 84′ | O. ScarlesMorato |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 353 | Accurate passes | 340 |
Bolton vs West Ham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bolton vs West Ham
| Probability | Bolton | Draw | West Ham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.8% | 22.1% | 56.1% |
| Market | 18.8% | 22.4% | 58.8% |
| Final | 19.6% | 22.3% | 58.1% |
| Edge | +3.0% | -0.3% | -2.7% |
Why West Ham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bolton and West Ham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Bolton and West Ham attack and defence ratings
Bolton
West Ham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bolton vs West Ham: result vs prediction
Bolton 2 – 3 West Ham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bolton vs West Ham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 58.1% | 1.72 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bolton | 19.6% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| West Ham | 58.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 7.1% |
Bolton vs West Ham stats
Bolton and West Ham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bolton and West Ham going into this match
Bolton record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
West Ham record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bolton vs West Ham head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-09-19 | West Ham | Bolton | League Cup | 3-0 |
| 2011-04-09 | Bolton | West Ham | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2010-08-21 | West Ham | Bolton | Premier League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bolton vs West Ham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 22.4%, away 58.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| 1xBet | 4.68 | 4.25 | 1.62 |
| 888Sport | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.25 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 5.10 | 4.29 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 4.84 | 4.04 | 1.54 |
| Superbet | 5.00 | 4.15 | 1.63 |
| Unibet | 5.10 | 4.10 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .