Southampton
vs
Swansea
3 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | F. Azaz | ||
| 33′ | C. Larin | ||
| 46′ | J. OpokuRonald | ||
| 52′ | Z. Vipotnik | ||
| 54′ | Ronald | ||
| 63′ | E. JustS. Eustaquio | ||
| 63′ | J. FultonM. Widell | ||
| 70′ | Z. VipotnikA. Idah | ||
| 76′ | T. FellowsK. Matsuki | ||
| 78′ | M. K. YeoEom Ji-Sung | ||
| 78′ | L. Scienza | ||
| 85′ | L. ScienzaS. Edozie | ||
| 85′ | C. LarinD. Mubama | ||
| 90′ | J. Ward-ProwseC. Bragg |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 384 | Accurate passes | 427 |
Southampton vs Swansea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Southampton vs Swansea
| Probability | Southampton | Draw | Swansea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 29.2% | 33.5% |
| Market | 51.3% | 25.1% | 23.5% |
| Final | 47.8% | 26.1% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -14.0% | +4.0% | +9.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Southampton and Swansea expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Southampton and Swansea attack and defence ratings
Southampton
Swansea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Southampton vs Swansea: result vs prediction
Southampton 3 – 1 Swansea
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Southampton vs Swansea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Southampton | 47.8% | 2.09 | -14.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Southampton | 47.8% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Swansea | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Southampton win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Southampton vs Swansea stats
Southampton and Swansea recent form
| Southampton |
DDWLWL |
| Swansea |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Southampton and Swansea going into this match
Southampton record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Swansea record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Southampton vs Swansea head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Swansea | Southampton | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Southampton | Swansea | England Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Southampton | Swansea | England FA Cup | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-20 | Swansea | Southampton | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2023-12-26 | Southampton | Swansea | Championship | 5-0 |
| 2022-01-08 | Swansea | Southampton | FA Cup | 2-3 |
| 2021-07-31 | Swansea | Southampton | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2018-05-08 | Swansea | Southampton | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2017-08-12 | Southampton | Swansea | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2017-01-31 | Swansea | Southampton | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Southampton vs Swansea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.3%, draw 25.1%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.03 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.78 | 3.96 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.88 | 4.33 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.43 | 3.74 |
| Superbet | 1.87 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.84 | 3.60 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .