Swansea
vs
Wrexham
0 – 0 Full time
| 53′ | F. LissahB. Cabango | ||
| 53′ | Eom Ji-SungJ. Opoku | ||
| 62′ | D. ImrayI. Kabore | ||
| 62′ | R. LongmanJ. Ekomie | ||
| 62′ | O. RathboneJ. Windass | ||
| 63′ | A. IdahZ. Vipotnik | ||
| 63′ | S. SmithK. Moore | ||
| 67′ | Joseph Opoku | ||
| 75′ | J. FultonM. Stamenic | ||
| 75′ | M. WidellE. Just | ||
| 77′ | Ben Cabango | ||
| 78′ | C. O'HareL. O'Brien | ||
| 88′ | Stephen Welsh |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 566 | Accurate passes | 308 |
Swansea vs Wrexham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Swansea vs Wrexham
| Probability | Swansea | Draw | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.6% | 26.6% | 19.9% |
| Market | 40.2% | 28.5% | 31.4% |
| Final | 43.5% | 28.0% | 28.5% |
| Edge | +13.4% | -1.9% | -11.5% |
Why Swansea
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Swansea below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Swansea and Wrexham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Swansea and Wrexham attack and defence ratings
Swansea
Wrexham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Swansea vs Wrexham: result vs prediction
Swansea 0 – 0 Wrexham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Swansea vs Wrexham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swansea | 43.5% | 2.30 | +13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swansea | 43.5% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Wrexham | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Swansea win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 46.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 2-0 | 10.3% |
Swansea vs Wrexham stats
Swansea and Wrexham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Swansea and Wrexham going into this match
Swansea record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wrexham record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Swansea vs Wrexham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Wrexham | Swansea | England Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Swansea | Wrexham | England Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Swansea vs Wrexham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 28.0%, away 30.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.30 | 2.99 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.45 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.30 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.41 | 3.08 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 2.98 | 2.96 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .