Millwall
vs
Wrexham
0 – 3 Full time
| 18′ | Casper De Norre | ||
| 28′ | Z. Sturge | ||
| 36′ | Ben Whiteman | ||
| 43′ | C. De NorreC. Neghli | ||
| 52′ | K. Moore | ||
| 56′ | Lyndon Dykes | ||
| 63′ | J. CoburnZ. Lovelace | ||
| 64′ | E. BaggottD. Mazou-Sacko | ||
| 67′ | I. KaboreD. Imray | ||
| 67′ | J. WindassO. Rathbone | ||
| 69′ | J. Ekomie | ||
| 73′ | K. MooreS. Smith | ||
| 74′ | J. MetcalfeJ. Osei-Tutu | ||
| 74′ | D. KellyA. Massey | ||
| 76′ | J. EkomieR. Longman |
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 263 | Accurate passes | 473 |
Millwall vs Wrexham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Millwall vs Wrexham
| Probability | Millwall | Draw | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 26.6% | 20.0% |
| Market | 41.9% | 28.6% | 29.5% |
| Final | 44.8% | 28.1% | 27.1% |
| Edge | +11.5% | -2.0% | -9.5% |
Why Millwall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Millwall below the model: +11.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Millwall and Wrexham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Millwall and Wrexham attack and defence ratings
Millwall
Wrexham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Millwall vs Wrexham: result vs prediction
Millwall 0 – 3 Wrexham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Millwall vs Wrexham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 44.8% | 2.23 | +11.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 44.8% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Wrexham | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millwall win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
Millwall vs Wrexham stats
Millwall and Wrexham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Millwall and Wrexham going into this match
Millwall record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Wrexham record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Millwall vs Wrexham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Wrexham | Millwall | England Championship | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Millwall | Wrexham | England Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Millwall vs Wrexham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 28.6%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.28 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.44 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.08 | 2.97 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .