England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 4

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton

3 – 2 Full time

1′X. Simons
4′J. Tanganga
39′Gaizka Larrazabal
46′G. LarrazabalL. Brunt
49′John McAtee
61′J. RiedewaldK. Phillips
61′T. CampbellT. Cannon
62′S. PeckO. Arblaster
67′S. Dalby
68′P. Bamford
75′J. McAteeR. Rodrigues
80′B. Brereton DiazJ. Shackleton
81′A. FamewoM. Conway
81′T. GaleJ. Nelson
86′S. McCallumR. Norrington-Davies
90′X. SimonsE. Erhahon
90′R. Donovan

Bramall Lane, SheffieldReferee: T. Harrington

Sheffield Utd 53%
Draw 26%
Bolton 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
53 Possession % 47
5 Corners 5
8 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
4 Saves 1
347 Accurate passes 302

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Utd vs Bolton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySheffield UtdDrawBolton
Model38.9%29.7%31.4%
Market57.0%24.1%18.8%
Final52.5%25.5%22.0%
Edge-18.2%+5.5%+12.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sheffield Utd ↓ / Bolton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Sheffield Utd and Bolton expected goals

Sheffield Utd 1.31
Bolton 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.47

Sheffield Utd and Bolton attack and defence ratings

Sheffield Utd

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Bolton

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton: result vs prediction

Sheffield Utd 3 – 2 Bolton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Utd 52.5% 1.90 -18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.1% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sheffield Utd52.5%
Draw25.5%
Bolton22.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.0%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)47.5%
Handicap -1Sheffield Utd win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss61.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-09.8%
0-09.7%

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton stats

Sheffield Utd and Bolton recent form

newest first
Sheffield Utd DWDDWW
Bolton LDWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sheffield Utd and Bolton going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sheffield Utd record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Bolton record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Sheffield Utd wins 0Draws 3Bolton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-02-02Sheffield UtdBoltonChampionship2-0
2018-08-25BoltonSheffield UtdChampionship0-3
2017-12-30Sheffield UtdBoltonChampionship0-1
2017-09-12BoltonSheffield UtdChampionship0-1
2017-02-25Sheffield UtdBoltonLeague One2-0
2016-12-04BoltonSheffield UtdFA Cup3-2
2016-08-06BoltonSheffield UtdLeague One1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sheffield Utd vs Bolton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 24.1%, away 18.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.63 3.85 5.10
1xBet 1.65 3.88 4.93
Bet365 1.62 3.90 5.25
BetVictor 1.62 4.00 5.25
Betano 1.67 4.05 5.50
Betfair 1.67 3.90 5.00
Dafabet 1.66 4.10 5.20
Marathonbet 1.63 3.88 5.00
Pinnacle 1.66 4.00 5.41
SBO 1.60 3.69 4.74
Superbet 1.65 4.00 5.00
Unibet 1.67 3.85 4.70
William Hill 1.65 3.75 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▼ -0.02
X 3.90 ▲ +0.06
2 5.00 ▲ +0.25

5 snapshots recorded, from .