England Championship · 2026-09-01T18:45:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

Preston vs Bristol City

1 – 3 Full time

4′			S. Twine
9′			Jordan Thompson
51′			C. Wiley
59′			N. EileC. Pring
59′			A. RandellG. Yah
59′			Y. HirakawaJ. Wallace
66′			C. WileyA. Vukcevic
67′			J. ErabiC. Lang
69′			S. GreenwoodD. Ballard
79′			L. Eissat
82′			A. DevineA. Moran
83′			Liam Lindsay
84′			L. TolajJ. Williams
86′			D. Ballard
90′			S. MillsT. Small

Deepdale, PrestonReferee: R. Ricardo

Preston

31%

Draw

28%

Bristol City

41%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

18	Shots	12
4	Shots on target	7
52	Possession %	48
5	Corners	2
11	Fouls	14
2	Offsides	3
4	Saves	3
315	Accurate passes	306

Preston vs Bristol City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Bristol City

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Preston	Draw	Bristol City
Model	27.0%	27.2%	45.8%
Market	32.7%	28.1%	39.1%
Final	31.3%	27.9%	40.8%
Edge	-5.7%	-0.9%	+6.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Bristol City

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.17.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Bristol City below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

77%

3+ goals

52%

No goals

Preston and Bristol City expected goals

Preston

1.17

Bristol City

1.59

Total expected goals: 2.76

Preston and Bristol City attack and defence ratings

Preston

Attack

0.79 -21%

Defence

1.45 +45%

Bristol City

Attack

0.91 -9%

Defence

1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Preston vs Bristol City: result vs prediction

Preston 1 – 3 Bristol City

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

England Championship

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers · 2026-09-01
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton · 2026-09-01
Swansea v Watford — match page · 2026-09-01
Portsmouth vs Derby — team news & stats · 2026-09-01
Lincoln vs Blackburn · 2026-09-01
Birmingham v Southampton — match page · 2026-09-01
Stoke City v Norwich — match page · 2026-09-01
Millwall vs Wrexham — team news & stats · 2026-09-02

Before and after this match

Preston, previous: Charlton vs Preston prediction
Preston, next: Preston – Blackburn, 2026-09-05
Bristol City, previous: Bristol City vs Portsmouth prediction
Bristol City, next: Burnley vs Bristol City prediction

Preston vs Bristol City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Bristol City	40.8%	2.45	+6.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.2%	1.92	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	56.2%	1.78	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.1%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	54.2%	1.84	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Preston	31.3%
	Draw	27.9%
	Bristol City	40.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.2%
	Under 2.5	47.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	56.2%
	No	43.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	59.2%
	12 (either side)	72.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.7%
Handicap -1	Bristol City win	24.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.6%
	Loss	54.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.9%
	1-2	9.4%
	0-1	8.8%

Preston vs Bristol City stats

Preston and Bristol City recent form

newest first

Preston	LLLLDL
Bristol City	WDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Preston and Bristol City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Preston record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Bristol City record

They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Preston vs Bristol City head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Preston wins 5Draws 3Bristol City wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-01-04	Bristol City	Preston	England Championship	0-2
2025-09-27	Preston	Bristol City	England Championship	0-0
2025-05-03	Bristol City	Preston	Championship	2-2
2024-11-02	Preston	Bristol City	Championship	1-3
2024-01-13	Preston	Bristol City	Championship	2-0
2023-08-05	Bristol City	Preston	Championship	1-1
2023-02-04	Preston	Bristol City	Championship	1-2
2022-10-12	Bristol City	Preston	Championship	2-1
2022-01-29	Preston	Bristol City	Championship	2-2
2021-09-11	Bristol City	Preston	Championship	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Preston vs Bristol City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 28.1%, away 39.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.74	3.35	2.46
1xBet	2.84	3.34	2.41
Bet365	2.88	3.40	2.38
BetVictor	2.90	3.40	2.38
Betano	2.95	3.35	2.42
Betfair	2.90	3.30	2.40
Dafabet	2.90	3.45	2.49
Marathonbet	2.83	3.34	2.39
Pinnacle	2.94	3.46	2.48
SBO	2.68	3.11	2.41
Superbet	2.87	3.35	2.47
Unibet	2.75	3.30	2.48
William Hill	2.90	3.25	2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▲ +0.38

X 3.35 ▲ +0.05

2 2.41 ▼ -0.31

5 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.