Bristol City
vs
Portsmouth
2 – 1 Full time
Bristol City vs Portsmouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol City vs Portsmouth
| Probability | Bristol City | Draw | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 26.8% | 35.9% |
| Market | 43.7% | 28.1% | 28.2% |
| Final | 42.1% | 27.8% | 30.1% |
| Edge | -6.4% | -1.3% | +7.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol City and Portsmouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Bristol City and Portsmouth attack and defence ratings
Bristol City
Portsmouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol City vs Portsmouth: result vs prediction
Bristol City 2 – 1 Portsmouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol City vs Portsmouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 42.1% | 2.38 | -6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 42.1% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Portsmouth | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol City win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Bristol City vs Portsmouth stats
Bristol City and Portsmouth recent form
| Bristol City |
DLLWLD |
| Portsmouth |
WLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol City and Portsmouth going into this match
Bristol City record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Portsmouth record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Bristol City vs Portsmouth head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Bristol City | Portsmouth | England Championship | 5-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Portsmouth | Bristol City | England Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Bristol City | Portsmouth | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Portsmouth | Bristol City | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2023-07-29 | Portsmouth | Bristol City | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-12 | Bristol City | Portsmouth | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2021-07-20 | Bristol City | Portsmouth | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2021-01-10 | Bristol City | Portsmouth | FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2012-03-17 | Portsmouth | Bristol City | Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol City vs Portsmouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 28.1%, away 28.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.34 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.34 | 3.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.47 | 3.33 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.93 | 2.98 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .