Blackburn
vs
QPR
1 – 2 Full time
Blackburn vs QPR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackburn vs QPR
| Probability | Blackburn | Draw | QPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.7% | 28.9% | 27.5% |
| Market | 39.4% | 28.6% | 31.9% |
| Final | 40.5% | 28.7% | 30.8% |
| Edge | +4.2% | +0.3% | -4.5% |
Why Blackburn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Blackburn below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackburn and QPR expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Blackburn and QPR attack and defence ratings
Blackburn
QPR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Blackburn vs QPR: result vs prediction
Blackburn 1 – 2 QPR
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackburn vs QPR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackburn | 40.5% | 2.47 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackburn | 40.5% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| QPR | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackburn win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Blackburn vs QPR stats
Blackburn and QPR recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackburn and QPR going into this match
Blackburn record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
QPR record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Blackburn vs QPR head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | QPR | Blackburn | England Championship | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-26 | Blackburn | QPR | England Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-04 | QPR | Blackburn | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Blackburn | QPR | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Blackburn | QPR | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | QPR | Blackburn | Championship | 0-4 |
| 2023-02-25 | QPR | Blackburn | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2022-07-30 | Blackburn | QPR | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-26 | Blackburn | QPR | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-19 | QPR | Blackburn | Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blackburn vs QPR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.4%, draw 28.6%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.32 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.28 | 2.92 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.43 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.28 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.38 | 2.94 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.01 | 2.73 |
| Superbet | 2.42 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .