QPR
vs
Cardiff
2 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | R. Burrell | ||
| 46′ | C. AshfordC. Willock | ||
| 46′ | C. ScanlonK. Bielik | ||
| 47′ | Ollie Tanner | ||
| 53′ | R. Burrell | ||
| 71′ | N. MadsenJ. Varane | ||
| 72′ | G. KamaraD. Cirkin | ||
| 72′ | A. S. MbengueK. Adamson | ||
| 72′ | T. LampteyJ. Clarke-Salter | ||
| 75′ | P. Ng | ||
| 77′ | Perry Ng | ||
| 80′ | J. MoylanJ. Colwill | ||
| 81′ | A. LloydI. Chair | ||
| 89′ | O. TannerI. Davies | ||
| 89′ | A. RobertsonC. Robinson |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 270 | Accurate passes | 515 |
QPR vs Cardiff overview
Garuda Lions analysis: QPR vs Cardiff
| Probability | QPR | Draw | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.5% | 24.4% | 40.2% |
| Market | 50.0% | 24.4% | 25.7% |
| Final | 46.4% | 24.4% | 29.3% |
| Edge | -14.5% | +0.0% | +14.5% |
Why QPR
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
QPR and Cardiff expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
QPR and Cardiff attack and defence ratings
QPR
Cardiff
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
QPR vs Cardiff: result vs prediction
QPR 2 – 1 Cardiff
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
QPR vs Cardiff markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | QPR | 46.4% | 2.16 | -14.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | QPR | 46.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Cardiff | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | QPR win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
QPR vs Cardiff stats
QPR and Cardiff recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
QPR and Cardiff going into this match
QPR record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Cardiff record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
QPR vs Cardiff head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-23 | QPR | Cardiff | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | QPR | Cardiff | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-27 | Cardiff | QPR | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2024-01-01 | QPR | Cardiff | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-12 | Cardiff | QPR | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2022-12-26 | Cardiff | QPR | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-19 | QPR | Cardiff | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2022-03-05 | QPR | Cardiff | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2021-11-03 | Cardiff | QPR | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-20 | Cardiff | QPR | Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
QPR vs Cardiff odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 24.4%, away 25.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.95 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 4.05 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.23 | 3.74 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.47 | 3.38 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .