Portsmouth
vs
Cardiff
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Krystian Bielik | ||
| 31′ | C. Shaughnessy | ||
| 52′ | Marezi | ||
| 60′ | Ollie Tanner | ||
| 63′ | D. TurnbullJ. Colwill | ||
| 64′ | C. WillockR. Colwill | ||
| 65′ | J. MeghomaZ. Swanson | ||
| 65′ | R. R. SheinE. Adams | ||
| 69′ | T. ShadeR. Kavuma McQueen | ||
| 69′ | MareziC. Bishop | ||
| 83′ | O. TannerC. Ashford | ||
| 86′ | Alex Robertson | ||
| 90′ | Yousef Salech | ||
| 90′ | M. PackI. Mohamed | ||
| 90′ | K. BielikC. Scanlon |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 160 | Accurate passes | 389 |
Portsmouth vs Cardiff overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portsmouth vs Cardiff
| Probability | Portsmouth | Draw | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.7% | 22.4% | 47.9% |
| Market | 40.1% | 27.1% | 32.8% |
| Final | 37.5% | 25.9% | 36.6% |
| Edge | -10.3% | -4.7% | +15.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portsmouth and Cardiff expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.79
Portsmouth and Cardiff attack and defence ratings
Portsmouth
Cardiff
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portsmouth vs Cardiff: result vs prediction
Portsmouth 2 – 0 Cardiff
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portsmouth vs Cardiff markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portsmouth | 37.5% | 2.67 | -10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portsmouth | 37.5% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Cardiff | 36.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.2% |
| No | 27.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portsmouth win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Portsmouth vs Cardiff stats
Portsmouth and Cardiff recent form
| Portsmouth |
LLWLLD |
| Cardiff |
LDLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portsmouth and Cardiff going into this match
Portsmouth record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Cardiff record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portsmouth vs Cardiff head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | Portsmouth | Cardiff | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-22 | Cardiff | Portsmouth | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-09 | Cardiff | Portsmouth | League Cup | 0-3 |
| 2017-08-08 | Cardiff | Portsmouth | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2012-01-21 | Cardiff | Portsmouth | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2011-08-27 | Portsmouth | Cardiff | Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portsmouth vs Cardiff odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 27.1%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.50 | 2.92 |
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.46 | 2.83 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.46 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.17 | 2.61 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .