Millwall
vs
Bolton
4 – 0 Full time
| 38′ | C. Taylor | ||
| 46′ | J. McAteeR. Rodrigues | ||
| 55′ | D. Mazou-SackoD. Kelly | ||
| 60′ | S. DalbyT. Bair | ||
| 60′ | S. Iling JuniorK. Dong | ||
| 65′ | R. EsseZ. Lovelace | ||
| 65′ | T. ArconteY. Issoufou | ||
| 75′ | Akin Famewo | ||
| 75′ | A. FamewoM. Conway | ||
| 76′ | X. SimonsR. Hardie | ||
| 81′ | J. Osei-TutuE. Baggott | ||
| 83′ | L. Dykes | ||
| 86′ | Jenson Metcalfe | ||
| 86′ | Josh Sheehan | ||
| 88′ | L. Dykes | ||
| 90′ | C. Neghli |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 8 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 186 | Accurate passes | 334 |
Millwall vs Bolton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Millwall vs Bolton
| Probability | Millwall | Draw | Bolton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 28.7% | 36.9% |
| Market | 48.4% | 27.5% | 24.2% |
| Final | 44.9% | 27.8% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -13.9% | +1.2% | +12.7% |
Why Millwall
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Millwall and Bolton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Millwall and Bolton attack and defence ratings
Millwall
Bolton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Millwall vs Bolton: result vs prediction
Millwall 4 – 0 Bolton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Millwall vs Bolton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 44.9% | 2.23 | -13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 44.9% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Bolton | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millwall win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 65.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-0 | 8.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Millwall vs Bolton stats
Millwall and Bolton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Millwall and Bolton going into this match
Millwall record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Bolton record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Millwall vs Bolton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-09 | Bolton | Millwall | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2018-11-24 | Millwall | Bolton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2018-04-10 | Bolton | Millwall | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2017-08-12 | Millwall | Bolton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2016-11-19 | Bolton | Millwall | League One | 2-0 |
| 2016-10-18 | Millwall | Bolton | League One | 0-2 |
| 2015-03-14 | Bolton | Millwall | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2014-12-19 | Millwall | Bolton | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2014-02-15 | Millwall | Bolton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2013-11-09 | Bolton | Millwall | Championship | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Millwall vs Bolton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 27.7%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.89 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.45 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.38 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.49 | 4.01 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.02 | 3.37 |
| Unibet | 1.84 | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .