QPR
vs
Middlesbrough
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | I. ChairK. Saito | ||
| 20′ | W. Lankshear | ||
| 39′ | R. KoneR. Burrell | ||
| 55′ | W. LankshearM. Peart-Harris | ||
| 55′ | R. McGreeT. Conway | ||
| 58′ | Adilson Malanda | ||
| 67′ | D. CirkinT. Lamptey | ||
| 67′ | J. Clarke-SalterG. Kamara | ||
| 67′ | K. PokuN. Madsen | ||
| 71′ | M. ArfstenA. Jones | ||
| 72′ | A. PhillipsL. Ayling | ||
| 76′ | Callum Brittain | ||
| 84′ | S. BerhalterR. Pukstas | ||
| 90′ | Glen Kamara |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 381 | Accurate passes | 379 |
QPR vs Middlesbrough overview
Garuda Lions analysis: QPR vs Middlesbrough
| Probability | QPR | Draw | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 28.0% | 37.2% |
| Market | 30.0% | 26.5% | 43.5% |
| Final | 31.2% | 26.9% | 41.9% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +1.5% | -6.3% |
Why Middlesbrough
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
QPR and Middlesbrough expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
QPR and Middlesbrough attack and defence ratings
QPR
Middlesbrough
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
QPR vs Middlesbrough: result vs prediction
QPR 0 – 1 Middlesbrough
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
QPR vs Middlesbrough markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 41.9% | 2.39 | -6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | QPR | 31.2% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Middlesbrough | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Middlesbrough win | 17.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
QPR vs Middlesbrough stats
QPR and Middlesbrough recent form
| QPR |
WWDWDL |
| Middlesbrough |
DWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
QPR and Middlesbrough going into this match
QPR record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Middlesbrough record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
QPR vs Middlesbrough head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | QPR | Middlesbrough | England Championship | 0-4 |
| 2025-12-13 | Middlesbrough | QPR | England Championship | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-11 | Middlesbrough | QPR | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-05 | QPR | Middlesbrough | Championship | 1-4 |
| 2024-03-09 | QPR | Middlesbrough | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Middlesbrough | QPR | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Middlesbrough | QPR | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2022-08-06 | QPR | Middlesbrough | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2022-02-09 | QPR | Middlesbrough | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2021-08-18 | Middlesbrough | QPR | Championship | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
QPR vs Middlesbrough odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.7%, draw 26.7%, away 43.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.12 |
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.52 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.52 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18 | 3.74 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.06 | 2.15 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.45 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .