England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 6

Charlton vs QPR

0 – 0 Full time

36′T. LampteyD. Cirkin
46′M. LeaburnJ. Rankin-Costello
48′J. DunneJ. Clarke-Salter
65′S. CareyM. Mbick
74′Kealey Adamson
76′Jake Clarke-Salter
79′K. AdamsonA. S. Mbengue
79′P. SmythJ. Obikwu
79′A. LloydL. Scarlett
85′O. SkippA. Mwamba
88′T. CampbellM. Alli

The Valley, LondonReferee: T. Nield

Charlton 28%
Draw 28%
QPR 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 2
28 Possession % 72
5 Corners 12
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 0
196 Accurate passes 613

Charlton vs QPR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Charlton vs QPR

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCharltonDrawQPR
Model28.6%26.9%44.6%
Market28.2%28.5%43.3%
Final28.3%28.1%43.6%
Edge+0.3%-1.6%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why QPR

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.25.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Charlton ↓ / QPR → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Charlton and QPR expected goals

Charlton 1.25
QPR 1.61

Total expected goals: 2.86

Charlton and QPR attack and defence ratings

Charlton

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.33 +33%

QPR

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Charlton vs QPR: result vs prediction

Charlton 0 – 0 QPR

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Charlton vs QPR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 QPR 43.6% 2.29 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.2% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Charlton28.3%
Draw28.1%
QPR43.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%
Both teams to scoreYes58.2%
No41.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.4%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.7%
Handicap -1QPR win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.3%
0-18.1%

Charlton vs QPR stats

Charlton and QPR recent form

newest first
Charlton LDWLWW
QPR LWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Charlton and QPR going into this match

league record before kick-off

Charlton record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

QPR record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Charlton vs QPR head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Charlton wins 3Draws 3QPR wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06CharltonQPREngland Championship0-0
2025-08-30QPRCharltonEngland Championship3-1
2022-08-09CharltonQPRLeague Cup1-1
2020-06-27CharltonQPRChampionship1-0
2019-12-21QPRCharltonChampionship2-2
2016-04-09QPRCharltonChampionship2-1
2015-08-08CharltonQPRChampionship2-0
2014-02-22CharltonQPRChampionship1-0
2013-11-23QPRCharltonChampionship1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Charlton vs QPR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 28.5%, away 43.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.30 2.20
1xBet 3.30 3.38 2.13
888Sport 3.25 3.10 2.15
Bet365 3.50 3.25 2.15
BetVictor 3.40 3.40 2.10
Betano 3.40 3.25 2.25
Betfair 3.50 3.30 2.15
Dafabet 3.40 3.35 2.24
Marathonbet 3.28 3.38 2.12
Pinnacle 3.49 3.44 2.19
SBO 2.98 3.07 2.23
Superbet 3.35 3.30 2.22
Unibet 3.10 3.30 2.23
William Hill 3.25 3.10 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.33 ▲ +0.27
X 3.30 ▼ -0.05
2 2.17 ▼ -0.04

8 snapshots recorded, from .