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England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 7

West Brom vs QPR

1 – 1 Full time

35′Paul SmythLeon Scarlett
38′Chris Mepham
41′Callum Styles
45′Nicolas MadsenGlen Kamara
51′Glen Kamara
63′Jake Clarke-Salter
64′Jonathan Varane
68′Toby CollyerKareem Tunde
71′Dennis CirkinKealey Adamson
74′Felix Horn MyhreJ. Morgan
74′Aune HeggeboBarney Stewart
75′Rabby NzingoulaOusmane·Diakite
80′Rumarn Burrell
81′Kwame PokuKoki Saito
82′Leon ScarlettAlfie Lloyd
90′Nathaniel PhillipsGeorge Campbell
90′Ousmane·Diakite

The Hawthorns, West BromwichReferee: R. Ricardo

West Brom 45%
Draw 29%
QPR 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
5 Corners 3
11 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 4
558 Accurate passes 302

West Brom vs QPR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: West Brom vs QPR

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWest BromDrawQPR
Model47.3%30.2%22.5%
Market44.3%28.1%27.6%
Final45.0%28.6%26.3%
Edge+3.0%+2.1%-5.1%

Confidence: Low

Why West Brom

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.87.
  • The market prices West Brom below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

West Brom ↓ / QPR → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

West Brom and QPR expected goals

West Brom 1.37
QPR 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.24

West Brom and QPR attack and defence ratings

West Brom

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.82 -18%

QPR

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

West Brom vs QPR: result vs prediction

West Brom 1 – 1 QPR

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

West Brom vs QPR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 West Brom 45.0% 2.22 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 55.4% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2West Brom45.0%
Draw28.6%
QPR26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.8%
Under 2.561.2%
Both teams to scoreYes44.6%
No55.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)71.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.0%
Handicap -1West Brom win23.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-013.3%
0-011.9%

West Brom vs QPR stats

West Brom and QPR recent form

newest first
West Brom WWDLLW
QPR DLWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

West Brom and QPR going into this match

league record before kick-off

West Brom record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

QPR record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

West Brom vs QPR head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6West Brom wins 2Draws 2QPR wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-29West BromQPREngland Championship2-1
2025-12-06QPRWest BromEngland Championship3-1
2025-03-08West BromQPRChampionship1-0
2024-08-10QPRWest BromChampionship1-3
2024-03-06QPRWest BromChampionship2-2
2023-10-24West BromQPRChampionship2-0
2023-04-10West BromQPRChampionship2-2
2022-11-05QPRWest BromChampionship0-1
2022-01-15QPRWest BromChampionship1-0
2021-09-24West BromQPRChampionship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

West Brom vs QPR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 28.1%, away 27.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.60 3.75
1xBet 2.12 3.34 3.38
888Sport 1.91 3.50 3.60
Bet365 2.15 3.30 3.40
BetVictor 2.10 3.40 3.50
Betano 2.15 3.35 3.50
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.40
Dafabet 1.95 3.75 3.85
Marathonbet 2.10 3.34 3.38
Pinnacle 2.18 3.43 3.47
SBO 2.12 3.12 2.95
Unibet 1.90 3.60 3.70
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▲ +0.21
X 3.34 ▼ -0.30
2 3.40 ▼ -0.27

9 snapshots recorded, from .