Stoke City
vs
Charlton
4 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | J. Devenny | ||
| 22′ | E. Galbraith | ||
| 25′ | G. Hirst | ||
| 26′ | T. CampbellD. McNamara | ||
| 34′ | S. GallagherR. Bozenik | ||
| 41′ | J. Devenny | ||
| 45′ | Ethan Galbraith | ||
| 45′ | Miles Leaburn | ||
| 46′ | T. OumaC. Coventry | ||
| 48′ | Danny McNamara | ||
| 50′ | Danny McNamara | ||
| 50′ | Danny McNamara | ||
| 57′ | G. HirstL. Cisse | ||
| 58′ | B. LawalM. Talovierov | ||
| 58′ | J. DevennyJ. McGlynn | ||
| 62′ | Conor Coventry | ||
| 72′ | J. Rankin-CostelloM. Alli | ||
| 72′ | M. LeaburnM. Mbick | ||
| 79′ | D. SoumareB. Pearson | ||
| 79′ | K. GrantR. Apter |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 429 | Accurate passes | 221 |
Stoke City vs Charlton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stoke City vs Charlton
| Probability | Stoke City | Draw | Charlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 26.6% | 42.6% |
| Market | 44.2% | 29.0% | 26.8% |
| Final | 40.8% | 28.4% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -13.4% | -2.4% | +15.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stoke City and Charlton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Stoke City and Charlton attack and defence ratings
Stoke City
Charlton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stoke City vs Charlton: result vs prediction
Stoke City 4 – 0 Charlton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stoke City vs Charlton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 40.8% | 2.45 | -13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 40.8% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Charlton | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stoke City win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 69.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Stoke City vs Charlton stats
Stoke City and Charlton recent form
| Stoke City |
WLDLLW |
| Charlton |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stoke City and Charlton going into this match
Stoke City record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Stoke City vs Charlton head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Charlton | Stoke City | England Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Stoke City | Charlton | England Championship | 3-0 |
| 2020-02-08 | Stoke City | Charlton | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2019-08-10 | Charlton | Stoke City | Championship | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stoke City vs Charlton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 29.0%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.30 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.33 | 3.64 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 2.90 | 3.06 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .