Lincoln
vs
Blackburn
0 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | Tom Atcheson | ||
| 61′ | T. BaylissI. Varfolomeev | ||
| 61′ | F. DraperT. Olaofe | ||
| 67′ | K. MontgomeryA. Forshaw | ||
| 68′ | O. AfolayanJ. Fevrier | ||
| 69′ | Tom Atcheson | ||
| 69′ | Tom Atcheson | ||
| 77′ | R. StreetM. Ladefoged | ||
| 79′ | T. CantwellJ. Garrett | ||
| 85′ | Jake Garrett | ||
| 87′ | D. JefferiesA. Coubis | ||
| 87′ | R. Hackett-FairchildM. Melia | ||
| 90′ | Conor McGrandles | ||
| 90′ | Adam Forshaw | ||
| 90′ | R. AlebiosuL. Houghton |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 255 | Accurate passes | 449 |
Lincoln vs Blackburn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lincoln vs Blackburn
| Probability | Lincoln | Draw | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.0% | 23.0% | 18.1% |
| Market | 41.4% | 27.7% | 30.9% |
| Final | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| Edge | +17.6% | -4.7% | -12.9% |
Why Lincoln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lincoln below the model: +17.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lincoln and Blackburn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Lincoln and Blackburn attack and defence ratings
Lincoln
Blackburn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lincoln vs Blackburn: result vs prediction
Lincoln 0 – 0 Blackburn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lincoln vs Blackburn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln | 45.8% | 2.19 | +17.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln | 45.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Blackburn | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lincoln win | 36.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Lincoln vs Blackburn stats
Lincoln and Blackburn recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lincoln and Blackburn going into this match
Lincoln record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackburn record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Lincoln vs Blackburn head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-23 | Lincoln | Blackburn | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2018-08-28 | Blackburn | Lincoln | League Cup | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lincoln vs Blackburn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 27.7%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.32 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.32 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.15 | 2.94 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .