Lincoln
vs
West Ham
0 – 6 Full time
| 3′ | Thomas Hamer | ||
| 23′ | Conor McGrandles | ||
| 45′ | Konstantinos Mavropanos | ||
| 45′ | Felipe MoratoEdvin Austbö | ||
| 45′ | Chiedozie OgbeneRyley Towler | ||
| 45′ | F. DraperRobert Nicholas Street | ||
| 48′ | Edvin Austbö | ||
| 50′ | Jarrod Bowen | ||
| 51′ | Konstantinos Mavropanos | ||
| 58′ | Manor SolomonTaty Castellanos | ||
| 58′ | Konstantinos MavropanosAiridas Golambeckis | ||
| 63′ | Sonny BradleyAndrei Coubiș | ||
| 64′ | Ben HouseYunus Konak | ||
| 66′ | Joël VeltmanKyle Walker-Peters | ||
| 66′ | Arne EngelsTomáš Souček | ||
| 73′ | Ivan VarfolomeevTom Bayliss | ||
| 75′ | Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus | ||
| 79′ | Tomáš Souček | ||
| 89′ | Tomáš Souček | ||
| 90′ | Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 32 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 17 | Possession % | 83 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 62 | Accurate passes | 556 |
Lincoln vs West Ham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lincoln vs West Ham
| Probability | Lincoln | Draw | West Ham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.7% | 22.2% | 56.1% |
| Market | 19.8% | 24.7% | 55.5% |
| Final | 20.3% | 24.1% | 55.7% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
Why West Ham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lincoln and West Ham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Lincoln and West Ham attack and defence ratings
Lincoln
West Ham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lincoln vs West Ham: result vs prediction
Lincoln 0 – 6 West Ham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lincoln vs West Ham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 55.7% | 1.80 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln | 20.3% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| West Ham | 55.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% |
| No | 34.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.3% |
Lincoln vs West Ham stats
Lincoln and West Ham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lincoln and West Ham going into this match
Lincoln record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
West Ham record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lincoln vs West Ham head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-27 | Lincoln | West Ham | League Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lincoln vs West Ham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 24.7%, away 55.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.51 | 3.84 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 3.85 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 3.84 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.81 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| SBO | 4.32 | 3.67 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .