England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Middlesbrough
vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Sebastian Berhalter | ||
| 12′ | Yacouba Nasser Djiga | ||
| 40′ | Neto Borges | ||
| 51′ | Rodrigo GomesRafiki Said Ahamada | ||
| 53′ | Rafiki Said Ahamada | ||
| 57′ | will lankshear | ||
| 61′ | Marshall MunetsiJordan James | ||
| 61′ | Thomas DoyleJean-Ricner Bellegarde | ||
| 61′ | Mateus ManeFer López | ||
| 66′ | Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | ||
| 70′ | Sebastian BerhalterLuke Ayling | ||
| 70′ | Tommy ConwayMyles Peart-Harris | ||
| 80′ | Riley McGreeJeremy Sarmiento | ||
| 82′ | AndréSean Neave | ||
| 87′ | will lankshearKyle Joseph | ||
| 87′ | Amario Cozier-DuberryMax Arfsten | ||
| 90′ | Myles Peart-Harris |
Middlesbrough
43%
Draw
26%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
32%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 434 | Accurate passes | 374 |
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Probability | Middlesbrough | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.4% | 25.8% | 37.8% |
| Market | 44.6% | 25.8% | 29.6% |
| Final | 42.6% | 25.8% | 31.7% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Middlesbrough and Wolverhampton Wanderers expected goals
Middlesbrough
1.55
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.59
Total expected goals: 3.14
Middlesbrough and Wolverhampton Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Middlesbrough
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: result vs prediction
Middlesbrough 1 – 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 42.6% | 2.35 | -2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 42.6% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% |
| No | 36.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Middlesbrough win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers stats
Middlesbrough and Wolverhampton Wanderers recent form
| Middlesbrough |
DDWLWD |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
WLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Middlesbrough and Wolverhampton Wanderers going into this match
Middlesbrough record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Wolverhampton Wanderers record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Middlesbrough wins
0Draws
4Wolverhampton Wanderers wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-30 | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2017-08-05 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Middlesbrough | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2016-03-04 | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2015-10-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Middlesbrough | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2015-09-22 | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | League Cup | 3-0 |
| 2015-04-14 | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2014-10-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Middlesbrough | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2013-03-30 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Middlesbrough | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2012-12-15 | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 25.8%, away 29.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.58 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.58 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.79 | 3.33 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.33 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.12 ▲ +0.04
X
3.67 ▲ +0.13
2
3.20 —
41 snapshots recorded, from .