Norwich
vs
Bolton
3 – 4 Full time
| 5′ | Mohamed Toure | ||
| 8′ | Thierry Gale | ||
| 15′ | Mohamed ToureJ. Makama | ||
| 19′ | Ruairi McConville | ||
| 42′ | Gaizka Larrazabal | ||
| 47′ | Sam Dalby | ||
| 59′ | Oscar SchwartauJacob Wright | ||
| 59′ | Anthony MusabaParis Maghoma | ||
| 61′ | Jack Stacey | ||
| 70′ | Kyliane DongSamuel Iling | ||
| 70′ | Ruben RodriguesAtsuki Ito | ||
| 72′ | Atsuki Ito | ||
| 82′ | Andre BrooksAnte Crnac | ||
| 83′ | Gaizka LarrazabalXavier Simons | ||
| 90′ | Sam DalbyThelonius Bair |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 8 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 370 | Accurate passes | 255 |
Norwich vs Bolton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Norwich vs Bolton
| Probability | Norwich | Draw | Bolton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 22.6% | 33.2% |
| Market | 65.2% | 19.8% | 15.0% |
| Final | 60.0% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Edge | -21.0% | +2.8% | +18.2% |
Why Norwich
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Norwich and Bolton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.84
Norwich and Bolton attack and defence ratings
Norwich
Bolton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Norwich vs Bolton: result vs prediction
Norwich 3 – 4 Bolton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Norwich vs Bolton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich | 60.0% | 1.67 | -21.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich | 60.0% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Bolton | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% |
| No | 26.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Norwich win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Norwich vs Bolton stats
Norwich and Bolton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Norwich and Bolton going into this match
Norwich record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Bolton record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Norwich vs Bolton head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-02-16 | Bolton | Norwich | Championship | 0-4 |
| 2018-12-08 | Norwich | Bolton | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2018-02-24 | Norwich | Bolton | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2017-11-04 | Bolton | Norwich | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2015-04-11 | Bolton | Norwich | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2014-10-31 | Norwich | Bolton | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2012-02-04 | Norwich | Bolton | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2011-09-17 | Bolton | Norwich | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Norwich vs Bolton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.2%, draw 19.8%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.75 | 6.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.80 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 5.10 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 5.03 | 6.45 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.47 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .