League Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Manchester City vs Norwich

5 – 0 Full time

29′Floyd Samba
30′Kellen Fisher
32′Rayan Cherki
45′Rayan CherkiRyan McAidoo
45′Papa Amadou DialloParis Maghoma
48′Allan Andrade Elias
54′Floyd Samba
62′Ante CrnacAnthony Musaba
71′Allan Andrade EliasKaden Braithwaite
71′Anis Ben SlimaneMohamed Toure
71′Bruno AlvesRuairi McConville
85′Mathias KvistgaardenOscar Schwartau
90′Ryan McAidoo

Etihad Stadium, ManchesterReferee: R. Ricardo

Manchester City 77%
Draw 12%
Norwich 11%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 0
63 Possession % 37
2 Corners 3
8 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 2
0 Saves 1
708 Accurate passes 314

Manchester City vs Norwich overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Manchester City vs Norwich

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityManchester CityDrawNorwich
Model47.8%23.3%28.8%
Market86.8%8.7%4.5%
Final77.0%12.3%10.6%
Edge-39.0%+14.7%+24.3%

Confidence: Medium

Why Manchester City

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.54.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Manchester Cit ↓ / Norwich → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Manchester City and Norwich expected goals

Manchester City 2.00
Norwich 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.54

Manchester City and Norwich attack and defence ratings

Manchester City

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Norwich

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Manchester City vs Norwich: result vs prediction

Manchester City 5 – 0 Norwich

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Manchester City vs Norwich markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Manchester City 77.0% 1.30 -39.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.7% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.8% 1.45 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.4% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Manchester City77.0%
Draw12.3%
Norwich10.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.7%
Under 2.531.3%
Both teams to scoreYes68.8%
No31.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.4%
12 (either side)87.7%
X2 (draw or away)23.0%
Handicap -1Manchester City win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-18.9%
2-26.9%

Manchester City vs Norwich stats

Manchester City and Norwich recent form

newest first
Manchester City WWWWWL
Norwich LWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Manchester City vs Norwich head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Manchester City wins 2Draws 2Norwich wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-02-12NorwichManchester CityPremier League0-4
2021-08-21Manchester CityNorwichPremier League5-0
2020-07-26Manchester CityNorwichPremier League5-0
2019-09-14NorwichManchester CityPremier League3-2
2016-03-12NorwichManchester CityPremier League0-0
2016-01-09NorwichManchester CityFA Cup0-3
2015-10-31Manchester CityNorwichPremier League2-1
2014-02-08NorwichManchester CityPremier League0-0
2013-11-02Manchester CityNorwichPremier League7-0
2013-05-19Manchester CityNorwichPremier League2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Manchester City vs Norwich odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 85.9%, draw 9.3%, away 4.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.13 7.90 18.50
1xBet 1.11 11.70 22.00
888Sport 1.13 8.00 15.00
Bet365 1.10 10.00 17.00
BetVictor 1.07 12.00 23.00
Betano 1.13 11.00 21.00
Betfair 1.08 10.50 21.00
Marathonbet 1.11 11.75 22.00
Pinnacle 1.10 11.12 20.70
SBO 1.10 9.06 14.44
Unibet 1.13 9.00 15.00
William Hill 1.10 9.50 19.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.10 ▼ -0.02
X 11.00 ▲ +2.50
2 21.00 ▲ +4.00

20 snapshots recorded, from .