Bristol City
vs
Lincoln
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Ben House | ||
| 28′ | Lisav Naif Eissat | ||
| 37′ | Deji Elerewe | ||
| 41′ | lorent tolaj | ||
| 45′ | F. Draper | ||
| 53′ | F. Draper | ||
| 59′ | Jed WallaceDominic Ballard | ||
| 63′ | Chiedozie OgbeneReeco Hackett-Fairchild | ||
| 68′ | Ryley Towler | ||
| 69′ | George Wickens | ||
| 71′ | F. DraperRobert Nicholas Street | ||
| 71′ | Adam ReachDaniel Oyegoke | ||
| 76′ | Robert DickieRobert Atkinson | ||
| 76′ | Scott TwineSam Greenwood | ||
| 76′ | lorent tolajElijah Adebayo | ||
| 86′ | Cameron PringSam Bellis | ||
| 90′ | Ivan VarfolomeevTom Bayliss |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 434 | Accurate passes | 161 |
Bristol City vs Lincoln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol City vs Lincoln
| Probability | Bristol City | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 26.6% | 36.2% |
| Market | 50.6% | 26.8% | 22.6% |
| Final | 47.3% | 26.7% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -13.4% | -0.2% | +13.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol City and Lincoln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Bristol City and Lincoln attack and defence ratings
Bristol City
Lincoln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol City vs Lincoln: result vs prediction
Bristol City 0 – 1 Lincoln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol City vs Lincoln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 47.3% | 2.11 | -13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 47.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Lincoln | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol City win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Bristol City vs Lincoln stats
Bristol City and Lincoln recent form
| Bristol City |
LWWWDL |
| Lincoln |
WLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol City and Lincoln going into this match
Bristol City record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Lincoln record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bristol City vs Lincoln head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | Bristol City | Lincoln | League Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol City vs Lincoln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 26.8%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.44 | 4.14 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.60 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.44 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.62 | 4.30 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.24 | 3.81 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .