Stevenage
vs
Doncaster
2 – 2 Full time
Stevenage vs Doncaster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stevenage vs Doncaster
| Probability | Stevenage | Draw | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.3% | 33.0% | 32.7% |
| Market | 42.2% | 29.2% | 28.6% |
| Final | 40.2% | 30.1% | 29.6% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +3.9% | +4.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stevenage and Doncaster expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
Stevenage and Doncaster attack and defence ratings
Stevenage
Doncaster
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stevenage vs Doncaster: result vs prediction
Stevenage 2 – 2 Doncaster
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester
- Blackpool v Peterborough — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Bromley — team news & stats
- Plymouth vs Bradford
- Cambridge United vs Huddersfield — team news & stats
- Leyton Orient vs Barnsley
- Notts County v Burton Albion — match page
- Stockport County vs Wycombe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stevenage vs Doncaster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 40.2% | 2.48 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 40.2% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Doncaster | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stevenage win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
Stevenage vs Doncaster stats
Stevenage and Doncaster recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stevenage and Doncaster going into this match
Stevenage record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Doncaster record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stevenage vs Doncaster head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | Stevenage | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Stevenage | Doncaster | League One | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-18 | Stevenage | Doncaster | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-25 | Doncaster | Stevenage | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2017-01-02 | Doncaster | Stevenage | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2016-12-03 | Stevenage | Doncaster | League Two | 3-4 |
| 2014-01-04 | Doncaster | Stevenage | FA Cup | 2-3 |
| 2013-01-12 | Stevenage | Doncaster | League One | 1-2 |
| 2012-09-22 | Doncaster | Stevenage | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stevenage vs Doncaster odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 29.2%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.20 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24 | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 2.93 | 2.89 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .