League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Wycombe
vs
Milton Keynes Dons
3 – 3 Full time
| 11′ | Dan Casey | ||
| 31′ | Ewan Henderson | ||
| 36′ | Alex Gilbey | ||
| 41′ | Aaron Collins | ||
| 45′ | Daniel BarlaserDan Crowley | ||
| 45′ | Ryan BarnettCallum Paterson | ||
| 51′ | Aaron Collins | ||
| 55′ | Callum Paterson | ||
| 59′ | Curtis Nelson | ||
| 60′ | Malik MothersilleSilko Thomas | ||
| 72′ | S. ParkerEmre Tezgel | ||
| 73′ | Alex GilbeyBen Wiles | ||
| 73′ | Aaron CollinsSamuel Silvera | ||
| 74′ | Jayden Wareham | ||
| 79′ | Cauley WoodrowJosh Scowen | ||
| 84′ | Marvin Ekpiteta |
Wycombe
41%
Draw
26%
Milton Keynes Dons
34%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 285 | Accurate passes | 218 |
Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons
| Probability | Wycombe | Draw | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.7% | 25.3% | 37.0% |
| Market | 41.6% | 25.9% | 32.5% |
| Final | 40.7% | 25.7% | 33.6% |
| Edge | -4.0% | -0.6% | +4.6% |
Why Wycombe
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons expected goals
Wycombe
1.62
Milton Keynes Dons
1.62
Total expected goals: 3.25
Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons attack and defence ratings
Wycombe
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.48 +48%
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons: result vs prediction
Wycombe 3 – 3 Milton Keynes Dons
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Wigan vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Huddersfield v Notts County — match page
- Leicester vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Reading vs Blackpool
- Barnsley v Stevenage — match page
- Burton Albion vs Cambridge United — team news & stats
- Bradford vs Mansfield Town
Before and after this match
Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 40.7% | 2.46 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 40.7% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% |
| No | 34.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wycombe win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons stats
Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons recent form
| Wycombe |
LLDDLW |
| Milton Keynes Dons |
LDDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons going into this match
Wycombe record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Milton Keynes Dons record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Wycombe wins
1Draws
5Milton Keynes Dons wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-08 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | League Cup | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-01 | Wycombe | Milton Keynes Dons | League One | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-22 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | League One | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | League One | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-05 | Wycombe | Milton Keynes Dons | League One | 2-0 |
| 2022-01-29 | Wycombe | Milton Keynes Dons | League One | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-05 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | League One | 1-0 |
| 2020-02-01 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | League One | 2-0 |
| 2019-11-12 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | EFL Trophy | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 26.7%, away 32.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.64 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.64 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.90 | 2.92 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.07 | 2.72 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.92 |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▼ -0.20
X
3.62 ▲ +0.14
2
2.88 ▲ +0.22
7 snapshots recorded, from .