League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Stevenage
vs
Oxford United
1 – 2 Full time
Stevenage
41%
Draw
32%
Oxford United
27%
Stevenage vs Oxford United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stevenage vs Oxford United
| Probability | Stevenage | Draw | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 32.4% | 27.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.5% | 32.4% | 27.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stevenage
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
14%
Stevenage and Oxford United expected goals
Stevenage
1.17
Oxford United
0.91
Total expected goals: 2.08
Stevenage and Oxford United attack and defence ratings
Stevenage
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Oxford United
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stevenage vs Oxford United: result vs prediction
Stevenage 1 – 2 Oxford United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stevenage vs Oxford United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 40.5% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Oxford United | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.5% |
| No | 57.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stevenage win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.3% |
Stevenage vs Oxford United stats
Stevenage and Oxford United recent form
| Stevenage |
DWLLWD |
| Oxford United |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stevenage and Oxford United going into this match
Stevenage record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.