League Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Liverpool vs Tottenham

3 – 1 Full time

21′Alexis Mac Allister
36′Ronald Araujo
40′Jeremie Frimpong
41′Omar Marmoush
45′Rodrigo Bentancur
45′Joe GomezJérémy Jacquet
54′Cody Gakpo
57′Rodrigo BentancurMateus Fernandes
57′Destiny UdogieAndrew Robertson
62′Treymaurice NyoniRyan Gravenberch
62′James McConnellDominik Szoboszlai
69′Conor Gallagher
72′Rio NgumohaBradley Barcola
75′Milos Kerkez
75′Mohammed KudusSávio Moreira de Oliveira
75′Conor GallagherJames Maddison
85′Mathys TelDominic Solanke
86′Lewis KoumasAlexander Isak
88′Andoni Iraola
90′Dominik Szoboszlai

Anfield, LiverpoolReferee: A. Madley

Liverpool 48%
Draw 24%
Tottenham 28%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
55 Possession % 45
5 Corners 9
15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
5 Saves 2
305 Accurate passes 413

Liverpool vs Tottenham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Liverpool vs Tottenham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLiverpoolDrawTottenham
Model28.7%24.9%46.5%
Market54.7%23.9%21.4%
Final48.2%24.2%27.7%
Edge-26.0%+0.9%+25.1%

Confidence: High

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Liverpool ↓ / Tottenham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Liverpool and Tottenham expected goals

Liverpool 1.39
Tottenham 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.20

Liverpool and Tottenham attack and defence ratings

Liverpool

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Tottenham

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Liverpool vs Tottenham: result vs prediction

Liverpool 3 – 1 Tottenham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Liverpool vs Tottenham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liverpool 48.2% 2.08 -26.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.2% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.4% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Liverpool48.2%
Draw24.2%
Tottenham27.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.2%
No35.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.3%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)51.8%
Handicap -1Liverpool win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss71.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.3%
2-17.1%

Liverpool vs Tottenham stats

Liverpool and Tottenham recent form

newest first
Liverpool DWWDDD
Tottenham DDLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Liverpool vs Tottenham head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Liverpool wins 1Draws 2Tottenham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15LiverpoolTottenhamPremier League1-1
2025-12-20TottenhamLiverpoolPremier League1-2
2025-04-27LiverpoolTottenhamPremier League5-1
2025-02-06LiverpoolTottenhamLeague Cup4-0
2025-01-08TottenhamLiverpoolLeague Cup1-0
2024-12-22TottenhamLiverpoolPremier League3-6
2024-05-05LiverpoolTottenhamPremier League4-2
2023-09-30TottenhamLiverpoolPremier League2-1
2023-04-30LiverpoolTottenhamPremier League4-3
2022-11-06TottenhamLiverpoolPremier League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Liverpool vs Tottenham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.3%, draw 24.0%, away 21.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.74 3.95 4.20
1xBet 1.76 4.06 4.61
888Sport 1.75 3.60 3.90
Bet365 1.70 3.90 4.50
BetVictor 1.73 4.00 4.40
Betano 1.82 3.95 4.50
Betfair 1.73 3.80 4.33
Marathonbet 1.76 4.05 4.60
Pinnacle 1.77 4.09 4.42
SBO 1.66 3.88 4.06
Unibet 1.81 4.00 3.75
William Hill 1.73 3.80 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 —
X 3.95 ▼ -0.05
2 4.42 ▲ +0.32

16 snapshots recorded, from .