Everton
vs
Ipswich
1 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Thierno Barry | ||
| 35′ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | ||
| 42′ | Vitaliy Mykolenko | ||
| 66′ | Jack ClarkeJaden Philogene-Bidace | ||
| 66′ | Brennan JohnsonTyler Dibling | ||
| 67′ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | ||
| 73′ | Saša LukićFlorentino Luís | ||
| 74′ | Julio EncisoDaizen Maeda | ||
| 79′ | Jack GrealishTyrique George | ||
| 81′ | Exequiel PalaciosChuba Akpom | ||
| 81′ | EmersonnZian Flemming | ||
| 90′ | Kiernan Dewsbury-HallHayden Hackney | ||
| 90′ | Ainsley Maitland-NilesJake O'Brien | ||
| 90′ | Zian Flemming | ||
| 90′ | Harrison Armstrong |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 422 | Accurate passes | 386 |
Everton vs Ipswich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Everton vs Ipswich
| Probability | Everton | Draw | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 22.2% | 22.9% |
| Market | 52.9% | 25.1% | 22.0% |
| Final | 53.4% | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
Why Everton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.46.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Everton and Ipswich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.63
Everton and Ipswich attack and defence ratings
Everton
Ipswich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Everton vs Ipswich: result vs prediction
Everton 1 – 0 Ipswich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Everton vs Ipswich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 53.4% | 1.87 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 53.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Ipswich | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% |
| No | 29.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-1 | 6.9% |
Everton vs Ipswich stats
Everton vs Ipswich head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Everton | Ipswich | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Ipswich | Everton | Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Everton vs Ipswich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 25.1%, away 22.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.94 | 4.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.85 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.84 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.82 | 4.48 |
| SBO | 1.74 | 3.43 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .