Garuda Lions
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League Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

1 – 0 Full time

10′Jackson Tchatchoua
11′Jack Grealish
38′Raúl JiménezAdam Armstrong
45′Ladislav KrejčíYacouba Nasser Djiga
58′Thierno BarryBrennan Johnson
63′Jordan JamesJean-Ricner Bellegarde
74′Jackson TchatchouaKieran Trippier
74′Tawanda ChirewaBertrand Traoré
77′Jack GrealishTyrique George
77′Hayden HackneyCharly Alcaraz
80′Charly Alcaraz
90′Thomas Doyle

Hill Dickinson Stadium, LiverpoolReferee: T. Bramall

Everton 57%
Draw 22%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 21%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
62 Possession % 38
6 Corners 2
13 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
572 Accurate passes 315

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEvertonDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Model32.1%25.1%42.8%
Market64.8%21.2%14.0%
Final56.6%22.1%21.2%
Edge-32.7%+3.9%+28.8%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Everton ↓ / Wolverhampton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Everton and Wolverhampton Wanderers expected goals

Everton 1.50
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.75

Total expected goals: 3.25

Everton and Wolverhampton Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Everton

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: result vs prediction

Everton 1 – 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Everton 56.6% 1.77 -32.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.2% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.9% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Everton56.6%
Draw22.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers21.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.0%
Under 2.537.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.2%
No34.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.8%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)43.4%
Handicap -1Everton win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss67.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-28.9%
2-17.6%

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers stats

Everton and Wolverhampton Wanderers recent form

newest first
Everton DDDWWL
Wolverhampton Wanderers WDLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Everton wins 3Draws 5Wolverhampton Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-07EvertonWolverhampton WanderersPremier League1-1
2025-09-23Wolverhampton WanderersEvertonLeague Cup2-0
2025-08-30Wolverhampton WanderersEvertonPremier League2-3
2025-03-08Wolverhampton WanderersEvertonPremier League1-1
2024-12-04EvertonWolverhampton WanderersPremier League4-0
2023-12-30Wolverhampton WanderersEvertonPremier League3-0
2023-08-26EvertonWolverhampton WanderersPremier League0-1
2023-05-20Wolverhampton WanderersEvertonPremier League1-1
2022-12-26EvertonWolverhampton WanderersPremier League1-2
2022-03-13EvertonWolverhampton WanderersPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.5%, draw 21.2%, away 14.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.48 4.50 6.85
888Sport 1.60 3.60 5.00
Bet365 1.45 4.50 7.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.60 7.00
Betano 1.50 4.70 6.80
Betfair 1.44 4.33 6.50
Marathonbet 1.47 4.50 6.95
Pinnacle 1.48 4.59 6.68
SBO 1.54 3.58 4.61
Unibet 1.64 3.95 4.80
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.47 ▼ -0.15
X 4.50 ▲ +0.55
2 6.80 ▲ +1.70

18 snapshots recorded, from .