Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Liverpool
vs
Manchester City
0 – 3 Full time
| 8′ | Ronald Araujo | ||
| 47′ | Ryan Gravenberch | ||
| 56′ | Iliman NdiayeJeremy Doku | ||
| 58′ | Nico O'Reilly | ||
| 62′ | Ryan Gravenberch | ||
| 65′ | Erling Haaland | ||
| 66′ | Florian WirtzTreymaurice Nyoni | ||
| 66′ | Nico O'ReillyJosko Gvardiol | ||
| 68′ | Jeremy Doku | ||
| 75′ | Ronald AraujoJeremie Frimpong | ||
| 75′ | Lewis KoumasRio Ngumoha | ||
| 78′ | Rayan Cherki | ||
| 80′ | Erling HaalandAllan Andrade Elias | ||
| 80′ | Enzo FernándezAyyoub Bouaddi | ||
| 86′ | Ayyoub Bouaddi | ||
| 88′ | Jérémy JacquetJoe Gomez | ||
| 88′ | Bradley BarcolaFederico Chiesa | ||
| 90′ | Virgil van Dijk |
Liverpool
32%
Draw
25%
Manchester City
43%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 240 | Accurate passes | 497 |
Liverpool vs Manchester City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Liverpool vs Manchester City
| Probability | Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.5% |
| Market | 32.1% | 25.7% | 42.2% |
| Final | 32.1% | 25.4% | 42.5% |
| Edge | +0.0% | -0.3% | +0.3% |
Why Manchester City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
Liverpool and Manchester City expected goals
Liverpool
1.58
Manchester City
1.94
Total expected goals: 3.51
Liverpool and Manchester City attack and defence ratings
Liverpool
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Manchester City
Attack
1.56 +56%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: result vs prediction
Liverpool 0 – 3 Manchester City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Liverpool vs Manchester City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 42.5% | 2.35 | +0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Liverpool | 32.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Manchester City | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% |
| No | 29.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester City win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Liverpool vs Manchester City stats
Liverpool and Manchester City recent form
| Liverpool |
WWDWWD |
| Manchester City |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Liverpool and Manchester City going into this match
Liverpool record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Manchester City record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Liverpool vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Liverpool wins
2Draws
5Manchester City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Manchester City | Liverpool | England FA Cup | 4-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Liverpool | Manchester City | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Manchester City | Liverpool | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Manchester City | Liverpool | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool | Manchester City | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Liverpool | Manchester City | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Manchester City | Liverpool | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Manchester City | Liverpool | Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2022-12-22 | Manchester City | Liverpool | League Cup | 3-2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Liverpool | Manchester City | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Liverpool vs Manchester City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.1%, draw 25.7%, away 42.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.80 | 2.36 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.70 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 3.00 | 3.74 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.72 | 2.28 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.37 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.98 ▼ -0.02
X
3.71 ▲ +0.05
2
2.26 ▲ +0.11
55 snapshots recorded, from .