Hull City
vs
Ipswich
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hull City
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.40.
- RiskThe other two outcomes still add up to 60%.
Hull City vs Ipswich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hull City vs Ipswich
| Probability | Hull City | Draw | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| Market | 36.3% | 27.7% | 36.0% |
| Final | 39.7% | 26.9% | 33.4% |
| Edge | +3.4% | -0.8% | -2.6% |
Why Hull City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.40.
- The market prices Hull City below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +8.5% per unit staked (our 39.7% × 2.73 − 1).
Hull City vs Ipswich match preview
Hull City faces Ipswich in a Premier League match with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Hull City has a 39% probability of winning, while Ipswich stands at 34%, and a draw is estimated at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Hull City, with a 9% likelihood. Our model predicts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. Expected goals are set at 1.79 for Hull City and 1.38 for Ipswich.
In terms of recent form, Hull City has struggled with six games resulting in four losses, one draw, and one win, while Ipswich's form shows two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Ipswich has won both matches against Hull City. The confidence grade for this prediction is A.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hull City and Ipswich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Hull City and Ipswich attack and defence ratings
Hull City
Ipswich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hull City vs Ipswich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hull City | 39.7% | 2.52 | +3.4% | 2.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hull City | 39.7% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Ipswich | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hull City win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Hull City vs Ipswich stats
Hull City and Ipswich recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hull City and Ipswich season so far
Hull City record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Ipswich record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Hull City vs Ipswich head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Ipswich | Hull City | England Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Hull City | Ipswich | England Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hull City vs Ipswich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.3%, draw 27.7%, away 36.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.73 | 3.53 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 3.44 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.41 | 2.72 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.14 | 2.53 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .